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Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Boston River vs Juventud

0 – 0 Full time

38′Marco Mancebo
60′Gastón Pereiro
63′G. PereiroM. Diaz
64′A. AmadoL. Suarez
75′Mirko Diaz
75′lautaro vazquez
78′L. VazquezF. Saravia
79′B. LarreguiA. Alaniz
79′A. CruzF. Dominguez
82′Ramiro Miguel Peralta
84′M. ManceboM. Orona
84′F. BonfiglioN. Siri

Estadio Campeones Olimpicos, FloridaReferee: Leodan Gonzalez

Boston River 34%
Draw 28%
Juventud 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
45 Possession % 55
3 Corners 4

Boston River vs Juventud overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Boston River vs Juventud

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBoston RiverDrawJuventud
Model27.8%31.2%41.1%
Market35.6%27.5%36.8%
Final33.7%28.5%37.9%
Edge-7.9%+3.6%+4.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Juventud

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Juventud below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Boston River ↓ / Juventud → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 12% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Boston River and Juventud expected goals

Boston River 0.98
Juventud 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.23

Boston River and Juventud attack and defence ratings

Boston River

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Juventud

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Boston River vs Juventud: result vs prediction

Boston River 0 – 0 Juventud

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Boston River vs Juventud markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Juventud 37.9% 2.64 +4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 54.1% 1.85 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.0% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Boston River33.7%
Draw28.5%
Juventud37.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.6%
Under 2.561.4%
Both teams to scoreYes45.9%
No54.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.1%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)66.3%
Handicap -1Juventud win18.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss59.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-112.1%
0-012.1%

Boston River vs Juventud stats

Boston River and Juventud recent form

newest first
Boston River LLLLDW
Juventud DWLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Boston River and Juventud going into this match

league record before kick-off

Boston River record

  • They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 30 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Juventud record

  • They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Boston River vs Juventud head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Boston River wins 1Draws 2Juventud wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-30JuventudBoston RiverUruguay Primera División1-2
2025-10-04Boston RiverJuventudPrimera División - Clausura0-0
2025-06-02Boston RiverJuventudUruguay Primera División3-2
2025-04-05JuventudBoston RiverUruguay Primera División4-1
2019-11-06Boston RiverJuventudPrimera División - Clausura2-1
2019-07-28JuventudBoston RiverPrimera División - Clausura1-0
2019-04-21JuventudBoston RiverPrimera División - Apertura0-1
2017-11-25Boston RiverJuventudPrimera División - Clausura3-1
2017-05-07JuventudBoston RiverPrimera División - Apertura2-5
2016-10-02JuventudBoston RiverPrimera División - Apertura0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Boston River vs Juventud odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 27.5%, away 36.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.62 3.65 2.52
Bet365 2.50 3.20 2.45
BetVictor 2.55 3.30 2.50
Betano 2.67 3.15 2.45
Betfair 2.55 3.30 2.45
Marathonbet 2.56 3.10 2.47
Pinnacle 2.71 3.37 2.62
SBO 2.44 2.96 2.36
William Hill 2.50 3.30 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.15
X 3.30 ▲ +0.12
2 2.47 ▲ +0.16

14 snapshots recorded, from .