Cerro
vs
Wanderers
0 – 2 Full time
| 18′ | F. Labandeira | ||
| 21′ | Facundo Labandeira | ||
| 38′ | darlin mencia | ||
| 38′ | Damián Suárez | ||
| 45′ | L. Cosentino | ||
| 57′ | Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral | ||
| 61′ | Leonardo PaisA. Severo | ||
| 66′ | J. ZeballosJ. Luna | ||
| 66′ | D. J. Mencia HernandezA. Garcia | ||
| 69′ | J. GuasoneB. Morales | ||
| 73′ | Emiliano Rodriguez | ||
| 80′ | F. LabandeiraG. Freitas | ||
| 80′ | L. CosentinoJ. Urretaviscaya | ||
| 87′ | G. RodriguezF. Bregante | ||
| 87′ | E. SosaA. Miranda | ||
| 89′ | jonas luna | ||
| 90′ | J. AlbertiR. Sanchez |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
Cerro vs Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cerro vs Wanderers
| Probability | Cerro | Draw | Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.1% | 29.4% | 32.5% |
| Market | 33.9% | 29.6% | 36.6% |
| Final | 34.9% | 29.5% | 35.6% |
| Edge | +4.3% | -0.2% | -4.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cerro and Wanderers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Cerro and Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Cerro
Wanderers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cerro vs Wanderers: result vs prediction
Cerro 0 – 2 Wanderers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cerro vs Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wanderers | 35.6% | 2.81 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerro | 34.9% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Wanderers | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wanderers win | 14.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 67.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Cerro vs Wanderers stats
Cerro and Wanderers recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cerro and Wanderers going into this match
Cerro record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wanderers record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cerro vs Wanderers head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wanderers | Cerro | Copa Uruguay | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Wanderers | Cerro | Uruguay Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Wanderers | Cerro | Primera División - Clausura | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Cerro | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-31 | Cerro | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-16 | Wanderers | Cerro | Primera División - Clausura | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Cerro | Wanderers | Primera División - Apertura | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-03 | Cerro | Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura | 0-1 |
| 2023-03-25 | Wanderers | Cerro | Primera División - Apertura | 3-0 |
| 2023-01-26 | Wanderers | Cerro | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cerro vs Wanderers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.9%, draw 29.6%, away 36.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.75 | 3.43 | 2.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 2.92 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.69 | 2.97 | 2.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 3.09 | 2.64 |
| SBO | 2.63 | 2.83 | 2.29 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .