Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Defensor Sporting
vs
Cerro
2 – 3 Full time
| 12′ | Damián Suárez | ||
| 16′ | Xavier biscayzacu | ||
| 19′ | Xavier biscayzacu | ||
| 22′ | axel frugone | ||
| 30′ | Brahian Alemán | ||
| 38′ | Emiliano Rodriguez | ||
| 45′ | Emiliano Gaston Sosa Viera | ||
| 46′ | axel frugoneDiego Abella | ||
| 46′ | Xavier biscayzacuNicolas Scotti | ||
| 46′ | pablo nongoyLeonardo Pais | ||
| 52′ | Brian Montenegro | ||
| 57′ | Damián Suárez | ||
| 61′ | Lucas agazzi | ||
| 63′ | Emiliano Rodriguezbruno morales | ||
| 63′ | Cristian BarrosEzequiel Forclaz | ||
| 66′ | Brahian AlemánAgustin Miranda | ||
| 69′ | Lucas agazzialan torterolo | ||
| 71′ | jairo amaro | ||
| 72′ | Nicolas Wunsch | ||
| 77′ | Agustin Miranda | ||
| 81′ | Brian Montenegropablo neris | ||
| 81′ | Nicolas WunschTomás Pozzo | ||
| 85′ | Yonatan Irrazábal | ||
| 85′ | pablo neris | ||
| 86′ | Alejo Macelli | ||
| 89′ | Tomás Pozzo | ||
| 90′ | Guillermo De los Santos | ||
| 90′ | bruno morales | ||
| 90′ | jairo amaroGianni Rodriguez |
Defensor Sporting
48%
Draw
28%
Cerro
24%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Defensor Sporting vs Cerro
| Probability | Defensor Sporting | Draw | Cerro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 30.5% | 32.1% |
| Market | 51.6% | 27.6% | 20.9% |
| Final | 48.0% | 28.3% | 23.7% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +0.7% | +2.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
Defensor Sporting and Cerro expected goals
Defensor Sporting
1.24
Cerro
1.13
Total expected goals: 2.36
Defensor Sporting and Cerro attack and defence ratings
Defensor Sporting
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Cerro
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro: result vs prediction
Defensor Sporting 2 – 3 Cerro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensor Sporting | 48.0% | 2.08 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensor Sporting | 48.0% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Cerro | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.3% |
| No | 50.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Defensor Sporting win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 62.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.3% |
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro stats
Defensor Sporting and Cerro recent form
| Defensor Sporting |
LWLWDL |
| Cerro |
LDLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Defensor Sporting and Cerro going into this match
Defensor Sporting record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cerro record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Defensor Sporting wins
3Draws
3Cerro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Defensor Sporting | Cerro | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cerro | Defensor Sporting | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Cerro | Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Defensor Sporting | Cerro | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-14 | Defensor Sporting | Cerro | Uruguay Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-07 | Cerro | Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Defensor Sporting | Cerro | Primera División - Apertura | 5-0 |
| 2023-11-15 | Cerro | Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Defensor Sporting | Cerro | Primera División - Apertura | 1-1 |
| 2021-12-04 | Defensor Sporting | Cerro | Segunda División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.6%, draw 27.6%, away 20.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.45 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.63 | 4.58 |
| SBO | 1.81 | 3.01 | 3.82 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.77 ▼ -0.03
X
3.30 ▲ +0.05
2
4.37 ▲ +0.17
11 snapshots recorded, from .