Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Atletico Torque
vs
Danubio
1 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Bautista Euclides TomatisMaicol·Ferreira | ||
| 45′ | Ivan Rossi | ||
| 46′ | Benjamin AzambujaEnzo Cabrera | ||
| 59′ | Salomón Rodríguez | ||
| 67′ | Sebastián RodriguezCristhian Andres Tizon Correa | ||
| 67′ | Joaquin Gabriel Trasante HernandezSebastián Fernández | ||
| 70′ | Franco PizzichilloAlexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero | ||
| 70′ | Luka AndradeDiogo Guzmán | ||
| 80′ | Salomón Rodríguez | ||
| 80′ | Mauro Brasil | ||
| 82′ | Cristhian Andres Tizon Correa | ||
| 87′ | Pablo Siles | ||
| 88′ | Salomón RodríguezGary Kagelmacher |
Atletico Torque
51%
Draw
27%
Danubio
21%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
Atletico Torque vs Danubio overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Torque vs Danubio
| Probability | Atletico Torque | Draw | Danubio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 27.8% | 15.8% |
| Market | 49.7% | 27.3% | 23.1% |
| Final | 51.3% | 27.4% | 21.3% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +0.1% | -1.8% |
Why Atletico Torque
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Atletico Torque and Danubio expected goals
Atletico Torque
1.64
Danubio
0.66
Total expected goals: 2.30
Atletico Torque and Danubio attack and defence ratings
Atletico Torque
Attack
1.31 +31%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Danubio
Attack
0.63 -37%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico Torque vs Danubio: result vs prediction
Atletico Torque 1 – 0 Danubio
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Torque vs Danubio markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Torque | 51.3% | 1.95 | +1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Torque | 51.3% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Danubio | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.1% |
| No | 58.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Torque win | 34.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 40.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 12.6% |
Atletico Torque vs Danubio stats
Atletico Torque and Danubio recent form
| Atletico Torque |
LDLWWW |
| Danubio |
WLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Torque and Danubio going into this match
Atletico Torque record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Danubio record
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Torque vs Danubio head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Atletico Torque wins
3Draws
4Danubio wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Atletico Torque | Danubio | Copa Uruguay | 2-0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Atletico Torque | Danubio | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-30 | Atletico Torque | Danubio | Uruguay Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-20 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-16 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Apertura | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Atletico Torque | Danubio | Primera División - Apertura | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-19 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Torque vs Danubio odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 27.3%, away 23.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.35 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.58 | 4.20 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.07 | 3.64 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.83 ▼ -0.12
X
3.33 ▲ +0.03
2
3.92 ▲ +0.42
10 snapshots recorded, from .