Atletico Torque
vs
Danubio
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico Torque
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Atletico Torque vs Danubio overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Torque vs Danubio
| Probability | Atletico Torque | Draw | Danubio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 27.8% | 15.8% |
| Market | 49.7% | 27.3% | 23.1% |
| Final | 51.3% | 27.4% | 21.3% |
| Edge | +6.7% | +0.6% | -7.2% |
Why Atletico Torque
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Atletico Torque below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Atletico Torque vs Danubio match preview
Atletico Torque faces Danubio in the upcoming match, with our model giving Atletico Torque a 51% chance of winning, while Danubio has a 21% probability of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Atletico Torque, with an expected goals tally of 1.55 for them and 0.71 for Danubio. Recent form shows Atletico Torque with a mixed record of L-D-L-W-L-W, while Danubio has struggled, recording W-L-D-D-L-L.
In terms of scoring dynamics, our model suggests a 39% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance that both teams will score. The head-to-head record over the last 10 encounters indicates a competitive matchup, with Atletico Torque winning 3 times, Danubio winning 4 times, and 3 matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Torque and Danubio expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Atletico Torque and Danubio attack and defence ratings
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Torque vs Danubio markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Torque | 51.3% | 1.95 | +6.7% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Torque | 51.3% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Danubio | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.1% |
| No | 58.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Torque win | 30.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 12.6% |
Atletico Torque vs Danubio stats
Atletico Torque and Danubio recent form
| Atletico Torque |
LDLWLW |
| Danubio |
WLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Torque and Danubio season so far
Atletico Torque record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Danubio record
- They have won 5 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Torque vs Danubio head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Atletico Torque | Danubio | Copa Uruguay | 2-0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Atletico Torque | Danubio | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Uruguay Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-30 | Atletico Torque | Danubio | Uruguay Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-20 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-16 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Apertura | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Atletico Torque | Danubio | Primera División - Apertura | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-19 | Danubio | Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Torque vs Danubio odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 27.3%, away 23.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.35 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.58 | 4.20 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.07 | 3.64 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .