Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Wanderers
vs
Boston River
1 – 3 Full time
| 8′ | Martín González | ||
| 39′ | Facundo Labandeira | ||
| 46′ | Rodrigo Agustín Saravia Salvia | ||
| 58′ | Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral | ||
| 62′ | Joaquín ZeballosSantiago Ormeño | ||
| 62′ | Marco ManceboNicolas Siri | ||
| 62′ | Martín GonzálezAgustin Aguirre | ||
| 68′ | Santiago benitez | ||
| 74′ | Joaquin Nicolas·Cabral | ||
| 76′ | Santiago benitezJonathan Urretaviscaya | ||
| 76′ | José AlbertiRenzo·Sanchez Veiga | ||
| 82′ | Francisco BonfiglioFacundo Aristegui | ||
| 84′ | Mario GarciaRodrigo Rivero | ||
| 84′ | Nicolás QueirozGonzalo Freitas | ||
| 90′ | Facundo Ezequiel Munoa dos SantosFelipe Avenatti | ||
| 90′ | Nicolas Siri | ||
| 90′ | Wanderers |
Wanderers
45%
Draw
28%
Boston River
27%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
Wanderers vs Boston River overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wanderers vs Boston River
| Probability | Wanderers | Draw | Boston River |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.7% | 25.7% | 16.6% |
| Market | 41.3% | 28.4% | 30.3% |
| Final | 45.4% | 27.7% | 26.9% |
| Edge | +4.1% | -0.7% | -3.4% |
Why Wanderers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Wanderers below our published probability: +4.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Wanderers and Boston River expected goals
Wanderers
1.74
Boston River
0.83
Total expected goals: 2.57
Wanderers and Boston River attack and defence ratings
Wanderers
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Boston River
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wanderers vs Boston River: result vs prediction
Wanderers 1 – 3 Boston River
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wanderers vs Boston River markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wanderers | 45.4% | 2.20 | +4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wanderers | 45.4% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Boston River | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wanderers win | 33.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.2% |
| 1-1 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 11.5% |
Wanderers vs Boston River stats
Wanderers and Boston River recent form
| Wanderers |
WWDDLW |
| Boston River |
DLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wanderers and Boston River going into this match
Wanderers record
- They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boston River record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wanderers vs Boston River head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Wanderers wins
2Draws
6Boston River wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Boston River | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 4-1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Wanderers | Boston River | Primera División - Clausura | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-02 | Boston River | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Boston River | Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura | 3-2 |
| 2024-03-31 | Wanderers | Boston River | Primera División - Apertura | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-12 | Wanderers | Boston River | Primera División - Clausura | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-23 | Boston River | Wanderers | Primera División - Apertura | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Boston River | Wanderers | Primera División - Apertura | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-24 | Boston River | Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura | 2-2 |
| 2022-06-06 | Wanderers | Boston River | Primera División - Apertura | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wanderers vs Boston River odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 28.4%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.20 | 2.99 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.31 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.16 | 3.20 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.44 | 3.18 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 2.97 | 2.84 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▼ -0.02
X
3.20 ▼ -0.12
2
3.00 ▲ +0.02
12 snapshots recorded, from .