Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Juventud
vs
Racing Montevideo
2 – 0 Full time
| 6′ | felipe alvarez | ||
| 12′ | Agustín De la Cuesta Airoldi | ||
| 16′ | Alex Vázquez | ||
| 25′ | Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone | ||
| 26′ | Racing Montevideo | ||
| 33′ | Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani | ||
| 41′ | Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani | ||
| 46′ | felipe alvarezfranco suarez | ||
| 60′ | Sebastian Da Silvaivan manzur | ||
| 68′ | Patricio Ezequiel PerniconeEmmanuel Más | ||
| 68′ | Mirko DiazEmanuel Cecchini | ||
| 73′ | ramiro brazionis | ||
| 74′ | Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani | ||
| 74′ | Carlos Sosa | ||
| 78′ | Federico Barrandeguy Martino | ||
| 78′ | Carlos SosaFabrizio Correa | ||
| 78′ | Alex Vázquezlucca loprete | ||
| 79′ | Bruno Larreguifacundo dominguez | ||
| 79′ | Ramiro Miguel Peraltafacundo perez |
Juventud
37%
Draw
32%
Racing Montevideo
31%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juventud vs Racing Montevideo
| Probability | Juventud | Draw | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 39.2% | 24.1% |
| Market | 36.6% | 29.5% | 33.9% |
| Final | 36.6% | 31.9% | 31.4% |
| Edge | +0.0% | +2.4% | -2.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
78%
2+ goals
48%
3+ goals
21%
No goals
22%
Juventud and Racing Montevideo expected goals
Juventud
0.93
Racing Montevideo
0.64
Total expected goals: 1.57
Juventud and Racing Montevideo attack and defence ratings
Juventud
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Racing Montevideo
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo: result vs prediction
Juventud 2 – 0 Racing Montevideo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventud | 36.6% | 2.73 | +0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventud | 36.6% |
| Draw | 31.9% | |
| Racing Montevideo | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 81.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.9% |
| No | 72.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventud win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.1% |
| 1-0 | 18.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.4% |
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo stats
Juventud and Racing Montevideo recent form
| Juventud |
DDWDDW |
| Racing Montevideo |
LLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juventud and Racing Montevideo going into this match
Juventud record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Racing Montevideo record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Juventud wins
2Draws
4Racing Montevideo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Juventud | Racing Montevideo | Copa Uruguay | 3-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Racing Montevideo | Juventud | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-20 | Racing Montevideo | Juventud | Primera División - Clausura | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Juventud | Racing Montevideo | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Juventud | Racing Montevideo | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-25 | Racing Montevideo | Juventud | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Juventud | Racing Montevideo | Segunda División | 0-2 |
| 2021-11-23 | Racing Montevideo | Juventud | Segunda División | 3-1 |
| 2021-08-12 | Juventud | Racing Montevideo | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2020-10-19 | Racing Montevideo | Juventud | Segunda División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juventud vs Racing Montevideo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 29.5%, away 33.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 2.95 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.13 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.05 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 2.95 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.13 | 2.90 |
| SBO | 2.39 | 2.95 | 2.54 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.48 ▼ -0.10
X
3.08 ▲ +0.05
2
2.68 ▼ -0.02
13 snapshots recorded, from .