Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Deportivo Maldonado
vs
Liverpool Montevideo
1 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | Facundo BarceloDiego Romero Lanz | ||
| 20′ | nicolas fuica | ||
| 31′ | Santiago Ramírez | ||
| 43′ | Santiago strasorier | ||
| 46′ | Gonzalo Sebastián Sosamaxiliano alis sequeira noble | ||
| 46′ | Cayetano BolzánHernán Menosse | ||
| 48′ | Hernán Menosse | ||
| 58′ | Diego Alexandre·Segovia HernandezAdriano Freitas | ||
| 62′ | Diego Romero Lanz | ||
| 69′ | Camilo MayadaEmiliano Mozzone | ||
| 70′ | Ramiro Matias DegregorioDiego Zabala | ||
| 77′ | Juan Ramos | ||
| 85′ | Federico MartinezSantiago Milano Larrosa | ||
| 85′ | Rafael HallerSantiago Laquidain | ||
| 85′ | Kevin LewisEzequiel·Olivera Reymundo | ||
| 89′ | Santiago RamírezLucas·Nunez | ||
| 90′ | Santiago Laquidain |
Deportivo Maldonado
40%
Draw
30%
Liverpool Montevideo
30%
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo
| Probability | Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.3% | 32.3% | 22.4% |
| Market | 38.1% | 29.5% | 32.4% |
| Final | 39.9% | 30.2% | 29.9% |
| Edge | +1.8% | +0.7% | -2.5% |
Why Deportivo Maldonado
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
15%
Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool Montevideo expected goals
Deportivo Maldonado
1.23
Liverpool Montevideo
0.78
Total expected goals: 2.01
Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool Montevideo attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Maldonado
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.59 -41%
Liverpool Montevideo
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo: result vs prediction
Deportivo Maldonado 1 – 1 Liverpool Montevideo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 39.9% | 2.51 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 39.9% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.6% |
| No | 60.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Maldonado win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 54.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.2% |
| 0-0 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo stats
Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool Montevideo recent form
| Deportivo Maldonado |
WWWLWL |
| Liverpool Montevideo |
WWDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Maldonado and Liverpool Montevideo going into this match
Deportivo Maldonado record
- They have won 17 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Liverpool Montevideo record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Deportivo Maldonado wins
1Draws
6Liverpool Montevideo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | Uruguay Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-15 | Deportivo Maldonado | Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-03 | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Apertura | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Deportivo Maldonado | Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura | 0-2 |
| 2023-07-03 | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Apertura | 3-2 |
| 2023-05-07 | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Apertura | 4-2 |
| 2022-08-28 | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Clausura | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-23 | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Apertura | 3-1 |
| 2022-03-04 | Deportivo Maldonado | Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División - Apertura | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-13 | Liverpool Montevideo | Deportivo Maldonado | Primera División - Clausura | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 29.5%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.05 | 2.74 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.13 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.05 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.05 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 3.22 | 2.93 |
| SBO | 2.29 | 2.97 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.36 ▼ -0.04
X
3.05 ▼ -0.05
2
2.77 ▼ -0.04
12 snapshots recorded, from .