Uruguay Primera División · 2026-10-11T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Clausura - 10

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC

0 – 1 Full time

14′			Mario Garcia
19′			Sebastian Assis
46′			Mario GarciaGustavo Viera
59′			Tobías FigueroaAlvaro Lopez
59′			Hernán ToledoCarlos Airala
60′			Santiago Franca·Ascarate
62′			Iker Zufiaurre
70′			alexis piegas
70′			Diego DaguerreBorys Barone
70′			emiliano jourdanelias leon de
70′			Brian Lozanonicolas ramos
71′			Iker ZufiaurreMateo Baltasar Barcia Fernández
77′			Alvaro Lopez
79′			axel pandianiandres cordoba
82′			Carlos Airala
87′			Francisco GinellaIgnacio Neira
87′			Federico PuenteSantiago Nicolas·Costa

Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla , MerlotReferee: Esteban Guerra

Cerro Largo

40%

Draw

30%

Albion FC

31%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

5	Shots	12
0	Shots on target	5
51	Possession %	49
5	Corners	4

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cerro Largo vs Albion FC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Cerro Largo	Draw	Albion FC
Model	43.8%	29.6%	26.5%
Market	38.1%	30.1%	31.8%
Final	39.5%	30.0%	30.5%
Edge	+1.4%	-0.1%	-1.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

70%

3+ goals

43%

No goals

10%

Cerro Largo and Albion FC expected goals

Cerro Largo

1.31

Albion FC

1.09

Total expected goals: 2.40

Cerro Largo and Albion FC attack and defence ratings

Cerro Largo

Attack

0.69 -31%

Defence

1.07 +7%

Albion FC

Attack

0.96 -4%

Defence

1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC: result vs prediction

Cerro Largo 0 – 1 Albion FC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Atletico Torque vs Danubio · 2026-10-09
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool Montevideo — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro · 2026-10-10
Wanderers v Boston River — match page · 2026-10-10
Penarol vs Progreso — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Juventud v Racing Montevideo — match page · 2026-10-11
Central Espanol vs Club Nacional · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

Cerro Largo, previous: Danubio vs Cerro Largo prediction
Cerro Largo, next: Cerro v Cerro Largo analysis
Albion FC, previous: Albion FC v Defensor Sporting analysis
Albion FC, next: Albion FC v Atletico Torque analysis

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Cerro Largo	39.5%	2.53	+1.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	56.8%	1.76	—	—
Both teams to score	No	50.7%	1.97	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.0%	1.43	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	59.9%	1.67	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Cerro Largo	39.5%
	Draw	30.0%
	Albion FC	30.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	43.2%
	Under 2.5	56.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	49.3%
	No	50.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	69.5%
	12 (either side)	70.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.5%
Handicap -1	Cerro Largo win	18.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.3%
	Loss	59.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.0%
	1-0	11.2%
	0-0	10.3%

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC stats

Cerro Largo and Albion FC recent form

newest first

Cerro Largo	LLLDLD
Albion FC	WLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cerro Largo and Albion FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cerro Largo record

They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.

Albion FC record

They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Cerro Largo wins 2Draws 3Albion FC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-05	Albion FC	Cerro Largo	Uruguay Primera División	2-2
2022-09-18	Cerro Largo	Albion FC	Primera División - Clausura	1-2
2022-04-16	Albion FC	Cerro Largo	Primera División - Apertura	2-1
2018-09-04	Cerro Largo	Albion FC	Segunda División	1-1
2018-04-07	Albion FC	Cerro Largo	Segunda División	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cerro Largo vs Albion FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 30.1%, away 31.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.37	3.00	2.85
Bet365	2.30	3.00	2.80
BetVictor	2.40	3.13	2.90
Betano	2.37	3.10	2.82
Betfair	2.30	3.00	2.80
Dafabet	2.45	3.25	3.00
Marathonbet	2.35	3.00	2.78
Pinnacle	2.48	3.15	3.05
SBO	2.30	2.93	2.67
William Hill	2.40	2.90	2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.37 ▼ -0.03

X 3.00 ▼ -0.10

2 2.83 ▼ -0.02

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-05T08:10:01Z.