Cerro Largo
vs
Albion FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cerro Largo
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cerro Largo vs Albion FC
| Probability | Cerro Largo | Draw | Albion FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.9% | 29.6% | 26.5% |
| Market | 38.0% | 30.1% | 31.9% |
| Final | 39.5% | 30.0% | 30.5% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -0.5% | -5.4% |
Why Cerro Largo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.02.
- The market prices Cerro Largo below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC match preview
Cerro Largo faces Albion FC in the upcoming match with Cerro Largo holding a 40% probability of winning, while Albion FC has a 31% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Cerro Largo, with an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest Cerro Largo will score 1.38, compared to Albion FC's 1.02.
In terms of recent form, Cerro Largo has struggled, recording two losses and three draws in their last five matches. Conversely, Albion FC has endured a challenging stretch, losing their last six matches, with one win in their most recent outings. The head-to-head record shows no wins for either team in their last encounter, which ended in a draw. Overall, the confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cerro Largo and Albion FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Cerro Largo and Albion FC attack and defence ratings
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerro Largo | 39.5% | 2.53 | +5.9% | 2.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerro Largo | 39.5% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Albion FC | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.3% |
| No | 50.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cerro Largo win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC stats
Cerro Largo and Albion FC recent form
| Cerro Largo |
LLDLDD |
| Albion FC |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cerro Largo and Albion FC season so far
Cerro Largo record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.
Albion FC record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Albion FC | Cerro Largo | Uruguay Primera División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cerro Largo vs Albion FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 30.1%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37 | 3.00 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.05 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.45 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.00 | 2.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.11 | 3.02 |
| SBO | 2.25 | 2.88 | 2.64 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.90 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .