Uruguay Primera División · ·Clausura - 11

Albion FC vs Atletico Torque

Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico Torque

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo

Albion FC 28%
Draw 28%
Atletico Torque 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Atletico Torque wins
44%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Albion FC vs Atletico Torque overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Albion FC vs Atletico Torque

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlbion FCDrawAtletico Torque
Model29.4%26.4%44.2%
Market28.1%27.9%44.1%
Final28.4%27.5%44.1%
Edge+1.4%-1.5%+0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Torque

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.31.

Best available price on the pick: 2.16, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Albion FC vs Atletico Torque match preview

Albion FC faces Atletico Torque in the upcoming Uruguay Primera División match, with probabilities suggesting a competitive encounter. Albion FC has a 24% chance of winning, while Atletico Torque is favored at 50%, and a draw stands at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2 in favor of Atletico Torque, with expected goals of 1.21 for Albion FC and 1.70 for Atletico Torque.

In terms of recent form, Albion FC has recorded two wins followed by four losses, while Atletico Torque's last six matches include two wins, one draw, and three losses. The model indicates a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance that both teams will score, suggesting an open match could be on the cards.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Albion FC ↓ / Atletico Torqu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Albion FC and Atletico Torque expected goals

Albion FC 1.31
Atletico Torque 1.64

Total expected goals: 2.95

Albion FC and Atletico Torque attack and defence ratings

Albion FC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Atletico Torque

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Albion FC vs Atletico Torque markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Torque 44.1% 2.27 +0.1% 2.16
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.6% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Albion FC28.4%
Draw27.5%
Atletico Torque44.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.6%
Under 2.543.4%
Both teams to scoreYes60.0%
No40.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.9%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)71.6%
Handicap -1Atletico Torque win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
1-29.2%
0-17.5%

Albion FC vs Atletico Torque stats

Albion FC and Atletico Torque recent form

newest first
Albion FC WWLLLL
Atletico Torque LWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Albion FC and Atletico Torque season so far

league record

Albion FC record

  • They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Torque record

  • They have won 17 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Albion FC vs Atletico Torque head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Albion FC wins 1Draws 3Atletico Torque wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31Albion FCAtletico TorqueUruguay Primera División1-2
2026-04-11Atletico TorqueAlbion FCUruguay Primera División0-1
2024-09-21Albion FCAtletico TorqueSegunda División2-1
2024-06-05Atletico TorqueAlbion FCSegunda División2-2
2022-09-03Albion FCAtletico TorquePrimera División - Clausura1-0
2022-07-08Albion FCAtletico TorquePrimera División - Apertura1-0
2022-02-28Atletico TorqueAlbion FCPrimera División - Apertura1-2
2019-08-11Albion FCAtletico TorqueSegunda División1-4
2019-05-04Atletico TorqueAlbion FCSegunda División2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Albion FC vs Atletico Torque odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.2%, draw 27.8%, away 44.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.22 3.28 2.04
Bet365 3.20 3.20 2.10
BetVictor 3.30 3.30 2.05
Betano 3.15 3.25 2.10
Betfair 3.25 3.30 2.00
Dafabet 3.35 3.50 2.16
Marathonbet 3.15 3.28 2.02
Pinnacle 3.33 3.42 2.13
SBO 3.05 3.00 1.96
William Hill 3.30 3.25 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.26 ▼ -0.64
X 3.28 ▼ -0.22
2 2.08 ▲ +0.28

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Atletico Torque Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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