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Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers

3 – 0 Full time

Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, MontevideoReferee: Gustavo Tejera

Racing Montevideo 44%
Draw 29%
Wanderers 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRacing MontevideoDrawWanderers
Model33.8%32.5%33.7%
Market47.8%28.0%24.2%
Final44.3%29.1%26.6%
Edge-14.0%+4.5%+9.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Racing Montevi ↓ / Wanderers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Racing Montevideo and Wanderers expected goals

Racing Montevideo 1.06
Wanderers 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.12

Racing Montevideo and Wanderers attack and defence ratings

Racing Montevideo

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Wanderers

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers: result vs prediction

Racing Montevideo 3 – 0 Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Racing Montevideo 44.3% 2.26 -14.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score No 55.9% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.1% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Racing Montevideo44.3%
Draw29.1%
Wanderers26.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.6%
Under 2.564.4%
Both teams to scoreYes44.1%
No55.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.4%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)55.7%
Handicap -1Racing Montevideo win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss66.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.3%
1-011.4%

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers stats

Racing Montevideo and Wanderers recent form

newest first
Racing Montevideo LLLDWL
Wanderers LWWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Racing Montevideo and Wanderers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Racing Montevideo record

  • They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Wanderers record

  • They have won 14 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Racing Montevideo wins 3Draws 2Wanderers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12WanderersRacing MontevideoUruguay Primera División1-2
2025-08-03Racing MontevideoWanderersPrimera División - Clausura1-0
2025-03-05Racing MontevideoWanderersCONMEBOL Sudamericana0-0
2025-02-03WanderersRacing MontevideoUruguay Primera División0-0
2024-09-07Racing MontevideoWanderersPrimera División - Clausura0-1
2024-07-20Racing MontevideoWanderersPrimera División - Apertura0-1
2024-02-23WanderersRacing MontevideoPrimera División - Apertura0-1
2023-10-24WanderersRacing MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura1-2
2023-03-19Racing MontevideoWanderersPrimera División - Apertura1-1
2019-11-10WanderersRacing MontevideoPrimera División - Clausura0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 28.2%, away 24.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.87 3.24 3.82
Bet365 1.85 3.20 3.70
BetVictor 1.93 3.25 3.75
Betano 1.93 3.30 3.65
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.70
Dafabet 1.99 3.45 3.85
Marathonbet 1.85 3.24 3.72
Pinnacle 1.98 3.45 3.91
SBO 1.94 2.90 3.24
William Hill 1.95 3.20 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▼ -0.10
X 3.24 ▲ +0.04
2 3.75 ▲ +0.25

9 snapshots recorded, from .