Garuda Lions
Today
Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting

3 – 2 Full time

28′gianfranco rodriguez
35′Federico Puente
37′Hernán Toledo
42′Guillermo De los Santos
42′Iker Zufiaurre
45′Tobías Figueroa
46′nicolas medinaXavier biscayzacu
46′Tomás Pozzoalan torterolo
46′gianfranco rodriguezaxel frugone
51′T. Moschión
62′francisco sorondo
63′Iker ZufiaurreMateo Baltasar Barcia Fernández
63′Hernán ToledoSantiago Nicolas·Costa
67′Francisco couture
71′Francisco coutureroman corletto gutierrez
72′Tobías Figueroa
78′Brian Montenegropablo neris
78′Nicolas WunschAlex perdomo
81′José Álvarezbrandon llana
81′Francisco GinellaIgnacio Neira
87′pablo neris
90′Albion FC

Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi, MontevideoReferee: Jose Burgos

Albion FC 32%
Draw 29%
Defensor Sporting 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 6
41 Possession % 59
2 Corners 9

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlbion FCDrawDefensor Sporting
Model31.7%29.7%38.7%
Market32.7%28.6%38.7%
Final32.5%28.9%38.7%
Edge-1.0%+1.0%-0.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Defensor Sporting

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Albion FC ↓ / Defensor Sport → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 7% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Albion FC and Defensor Sporting expected goals

Albion FC 1.16
Defensor Sporting 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.47

Albion FC and Defensor Sporting attack and defence ratings

Albion FC

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Defensor Sporting

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting: result vs prediction

Albion FC 3 – 2 Defensor Sporting

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Defensor Sporting 38.7% 2.59 -0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.1% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.3% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Albion FC32.5%
Draw28.9%
Defensor Sporting38.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.9%
Under 2.555.1%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.3%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)67.5%
Handicap -1Defensor Sporting win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss61.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-19.8%
0-09.7%

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting stats

Albion FC and Defensor Sporting recent form

newest first
Albion FC LLLLLL
Defensor Sporting WLWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Albion FC and Defensor Sporting going into this match

league record before kick-off

Albion FC record

  • They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Defensor Sporting record

  • They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 30 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Albion FC wins 2Draws 2Defensor Sporting wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-31Defensor SportingAlbion FCUruguay Primera División1-1
2022-10-01Defensor SportingAlbion FCPrimera División - Clausura2-0
2022-05-07Albion FCDefensor SportingPrimera División - Apertura0-3
2021-09-30Defensor SportingAlbion FCSegunda División0-1
2021-06-16Albion FCDefensor SportingSegunda División2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 28.6%, away 38.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.91 3.54 2.37
Bet365 2.70 3.00 2.38
BetVictor 2.88 3.20 2.38
Betano 2.80 3.10 2.37
Betfair 2.75 3.25 2.30
Marathonbet 2.78 3.05 2.32
Pinnacle 3.02 3.25 2.45
SBO 2.67 2.97 2.28
William Hill 2.80 3.25 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▲ +0.21
X 3.20 ▲ +0.10
2 2.37 ▼ -0.12

13 snapshots recorded, from .