Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 8
Central Espanol
vs
Liverpool Montevideo
1 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | F. Martinez | ||
| 11′ | N. Garayalde | ||
| 16′ | G. Gandolfo | ||
| 25′ | M. AlonsoF. Sosa | ||
| 35′ | F. Martinez | ||
| 39′ | N. Garayalde | ||
| 39′ | N. Garayalde | ||
| 46′ | E. MerelesM. Aguilera | ||
| 46′ | G. GandolfoI. Mendez | ||
| 46′ | T. BrizuelaS. Milano | ||
| 61′ | R. BentancourtF. Barcelo | ||
| 61′ | F. MartinezR. M. Degregorio | ||
| 70′ | M. MontielJ. Dellarossa | ||
| 80′ | Cesar NunesF. Montoro | ||
| 84′ | A. Villoldo | ||
| 85′ | F. Barcelo | ||
| 87′ | L. AcostaS. Laquidain | ||
| 89′ | J. Dellarossa | ||
| 90′ | K. LewisD. Romero |
Central Espanol
21%
Draw
30%
Liverpool Montevideo
49%
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo
| Probability | Central Espanol | Draw | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.9% | 33.8% | 50.3% |
| Market | 22.4% | 28.4% | 49.1% |
| Final | 20.8% | 29.7% | 49.4% |
| Edge | -6.5% | +5.4% | +1.2% |
Why Liverpool Montevideo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
81%
2+ goals
52%
3+ goals
24%
No goals
19%
Central Espanol and Liverpool Montevideo expected goals
Central Espanol
0.54
Liverpool Montevideo
1.17
Total expected goals: 1.71
Central Espanol and Liverpool Montevideo attack and defence ratings
Central Espanol
Attack
0.61 -39%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Liverpool Montevideo
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
0.68 -32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo: result vs prediction
Central Espanol 1 – 2 Liverpool Montevideo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 49.4% | 2.02 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Espanol | 20.8% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Liverpool Montevideo | 49.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.9% |
| No | 70.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Liverpool Montevideo win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 20.0% |
| 0-0 | 19.3% | |
| 1-1 | 12.6% |
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo stats
Central Espanol and Liverpool Montevideo recent form
| Central Espanol |
LDDLLL |
| Liverpool Montevideo |
DLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Espanol and Liverpool Montevideo going into this match
Central Espanol record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Liverpool Montevideo record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
1Central Espanol wins
3Draws
3Liverpool Montevideo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Central Espanol | Liverpool Montevideo | Uruguay Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Liverpool Montevideo | Central Espanol | Uruguay Primera División | 3-3 |
| 2022-08-31 | Central Espanol | Liverpool Montevideo | Copa Uruguay | 1-2 |
| 2015-03-21 | Central Espanol | Liverpool Montevideo | Segunda División | 3-2 |
| 2014-09-27 | Liverpool Montevideo | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 3-1 |
| 2013-04-06 | Liverpool Montevideo | Central Espanol | Primera División - Clausura | 1-1 |
| 2012-10-14 | Central Espanol | Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División - Apertura | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.4%, draw 28.4%, away 49.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.14 | 3.28 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 3.25 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.87 |
| Marathonbet | 4.05 | 3.28 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 4.40 | 3.45 | 1.88 |
| SBO | 3.49 | 3.00 | 1.89 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.05 ▲ +0.26
X
3.20 —
2
1.85 ▼ -0.07
9 snapshots recorded, from .