Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 7
Central Espanol
vs
Atletico Torque
1 – 4 Full time
| 1′ | M. Montiel | ||
| 19′ | N. Da Silva | ||
| 25′ | N. Da Silva | ||
| 37′ | N. Da Silva | ||
| 42′ | M. Alonso | ||
| 46′ | R. LecchiniL. Dure | ||
| 46′ | M. MontielF. Munoz | ||
| 54′ | F. Pizzichillo | ||
| 67′ | F. Sosa | ||
| 68′ | F. Silvera | ||
| 69′ | F. SosaF. Montoro | ||
| 78′ | J. DellarossaS. Sequeira | ||
| 82′ | J. Pou | ||
| 83′ | F. PizzichilloE. Busquets | ||
| 86′ | G. GandolfoE. Mereles | ||
| 87′ | M. Gonzalez | ||
| 90′ | L. Andrade |
Central Espanol
24%
Draw
29%
Atletico Torque
47%
Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque
| Probability | Central Espanol | Draw | Atletico Torque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.3% | 31.1% | 48.6% |
| Market | 25.3% | 28.1% | 46.6% |
| Final | 24.1% | 28.8% | 47.1% |
| Edge | -5.1% | +3.0% | +2.0% |
Why Atletico Torque
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Atletico Torque below the model: +2.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
63%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Central Espanol and Atletico Torque expected goals
Central Espanol
0.76
Atletico Torque
1.32
Total expected goals: 2.07
Central Espanol and Atletico Torque attack and defence ratings
Central Espanol
Attack
0.58 -42%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Atletico Torque
Attack
1.49 +49%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque: result vs prediction
Central Espanol 1 – 4 Atletico Torque
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Torque | 47.1% | 2.12 | +2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Espanol | 24.1% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Atletico Torque | 47.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.1% |
| No | 59.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Torque win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.0% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.3% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque stats
Central Espanol and Atletico Torque recent form
| Central Espanol |
DDLLLW |
| Atletico Torque |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Espanol and Atletico Torque going into this match
Central Espanol record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Torque record
- They have won 15 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Central Espanol wins
2Draws
4Atletico Torque wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Atletico Torque | Central Espanol | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2019-10-15 | Atletico Torque | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2019-07-07 | Central Espanol | Atletico Torque | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2017-09-16 | Central Espanol | Atletico Torque | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2017-05-06 | Atletico Torque | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 3-2 |
| 2016-10-01 | Central Espanol | Atletico Torque | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2016-06-11 | Atletico Torque | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 3-2 |
| 2015-03-14 | Atletico Torque | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 0-4 |
| 2014-09-20 | Central Espanol | Atletico Torque | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2014-05-24 | Central Espanol | Atletico Torque | Segunda División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Central Espanol vs Atletico Torque odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.3%, draw 28.1%, away 46.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.63 | 3.20 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.93 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.20 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.54 | 3.20 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.84 | 3.41 | 2.02 |
| SBO | 3.37 | 2.99 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.55 ▲ +0.02
X
3.20 ▲ +0.02
2
1.93 ▼ -0.05
10 snapshots recorded, from .