Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 6
Cerro Largo
vs
Central Espanol
0 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | F. Sosa | ||
| 38′ | E. Jourdan | ||
| 57′ | E. JourdanB. Lozano | ||
| 58′ | D. DaguerreG. Viera | ||
| 62′ | M. AlonsoI. Mendez | ||
| 73′ | F. SosaJ. Pou | ||
| 73′ | L. PinoF. Munoz | ||
| 73′ | A. de LucaL. Piriz | ||
| 78′ | L. Fernandez | ||
| 79′ | M. MontielI. Gonella | ||
| 80′ | S. SequeiraR. Tarragona | ||
| 81′ | L. Fernandez | ||
| 81′ | L. Fernandez | ||
| 85′ | M. GarciaE. de Leon |
Cerro Largo
39%
Draw
33%
Central Espanol
29%
Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol
| Probability | Cerro Largo | Draw | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 35.5% | 22.3% |
| Market | 37.8% | 31.6% | 30.6% |
| Final | 38.9% | 32.6% | 28.6% |
| Edge | +4.4% | +3.9% | -8.3% |
Why Cerro Largo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.68.
- The market prices Cerro Largo below the model: +4.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
81%
2+ goals
53%
3+ goals
25%
No goals
19%
Cerro Largo and Central Espanol expected goals
Cerro Largo
1.04
Central Espanol
0.68
Total expected goals: 1.72
Cerro Largo and Central Espanol attack and defence ratings
Cerro Largo
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Central Espanol
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol: result vs prediction
Cerro Largo 0 – 0 Central Espanol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerro Largo | 38.9% | 2.57 | +4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerro Largo | 38.9% |
| Draw | 32.6% | |
| Central Espanol | 28.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.2% |
| No | 66.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cerro Largo win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.1% |
| 1-0 | 17.3% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol stats
Cerro Largo and Central Espanol recent form
| Cerro Largo |
LDDDDL |
| Central Espanol |
DLLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cerro Largo and Central Espanol going into this match
Cerro Largo record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
Central Espanol record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Cerro Largo wins
1Draws
3Central Espanol wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | Uruguay Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | Uruguay Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2018-09-22 | Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2018-04-28 | Cerro Largo | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2017-11-15 | Cerro Largo | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 3-0 |
| 2017-06-28 | Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-10 | Cerro Largo | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 3-0 |
| 2016-03-27 | Cerro Largo | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2015-05-15 | Cerro Largo | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2014-12-06 | Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | Segunda División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cerro Largo vs Central Espanol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 31.5%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.41 | 2.82 | 3.02 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 2.88 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 2.87 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.34 | 3.05 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.39 | 2.82 | 2.96 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 2.95 | 3.17 |
| SBO | 2.31 | 2.81 | 2.77 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 2.95 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.43 | 3.10 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.40 ▲ +0.11
X
2.87 ▼ -0.01
2
2.96 ▼ -0.24
12 snapshots recorded, from .