Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 5
Central Espanol
vs
Defensor Sporting
1 – 1 Full time
| 42′ | T. A. Pozzo | ||
| 56′ | Cesar Nunes | ||
| 63′ | T. A. PozzoG. Barrios | ||
| 63′ | E. CuelloN. Wunsch | ||
| 65′ | I. MendezF. Munoz | ||
| 65′ | F. SosaF. Camarda | ||
| 74′ | R. TarragonaJ. Dellarossa | ||
| 75′ | A. TorteroloN. Scotti | ||
| 75′ | B. MontenegroJ. Neris | ||
| 77′ | N. Wunsch | ||
| 80′ | A. Frugone | ||
| 80′ | L. de los SantosM. Rabunal | ||
| 83′ | A. MadrugaM. Alonso | ||
| 83′ | M. AguileraE. Mereles | ||
| 89′ | M. Caballero | ||
| 90′ | M. Montiel |
Central Espanol
32%
Draw
32%
Defensor Sporting
36%
Central Espanol vs Defensor Sporting overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Espanol vs Defensor Sporting
| Probability | Central Espanol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 33.6% | 24.8% |
| Market | 28.8% | 30.8% | 40.4% |
| Final | 32.0% | 31.5% | 36.5% |
| Edge | +12.8% | +2.8% | -15.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
30%
No goals
16%
Central Espanol and Defensor Sporting expected goals
Central Espanol
1.12
Defensor Sporting
0.80
Total expected goals: 1.93
Central Espanol and Defensor Sporting attack and defence ratings
Central Espanol
Attack
0.66 -34%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Defensor Sporting
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Central Espanol vs Defensor Sporting: result vs prediction
Central Espanol 1 – 1 Defensor Sporting
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Central Espanol vs Defensor Sporting markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensor Sporting | 36.5% | 2.74 | -15.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Espanol | 32.0% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Defensor Sporting | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.5% |
| No | 61.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Defensor Sporting win | 8.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 75.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.9% |
| 1-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Central Espanol vs Defensor Sporting stats
Central Espanol and Defensor Sporting recent form
| Central Espanol |
LLLWDL |
| Defensor Sporting |
LDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Espanol and Defensor Sporting going into this match
Central Espanol record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Defensor Sporting record
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
Central Espanol vs Defensor Sporting head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2Central Espanol wins
2Draws
3Defensor Sporting wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Central Espanol | Defensor Sporting | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Defensor Sporting | Central Espanol | Uruguay Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Defensor Sporting | Central Espanol | Copa Uruguay | 2-0 |
| 2021-10-05 | Central Espanol | Defensor Sporting | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2021-06-26 | Defensor Sporting | Central Espanol | Segunda División | 4-0 |
| 2013-04-21 | Defensor Sporting | Central Espanol | Primera División - Clausura | 2-1 |
| 2012-10-28 | Central Espanol | Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Apertura | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Central Espanol vs Defensor Sporting odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.2%, draw 30.4%, away 40.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 2.91 | 2.26 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 2.92 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.36 |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 2.91 | 2.24 |
| Pinnacle | 3.36 | 3.04 | 2.37 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.19 |
| Superbet | 3.10 | 3.05 | 2.30 |
| Unibet | 3.25 | 3.05 | 2.14 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.16 ▼ -0.13
X
2.96 ▼ -0.04
2
2.25 ▲ +0.10
12 snapshots recorded, from .