Wanderers
vs
Central Espanol
3 – 0 Full time
Wanderers vs Central Espanol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wanderers vs Central Espanol
| Probability | Wanderers | Draw | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 31.4% | 27.5% |
| Market | 46.1% | 28.9% | 25.0% |
| Final | 44.9% | 29.5% | 25.6% |
| Edge | -5.0% | +2.5% | +2.6% |
Why Wanderers
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wanderers and Central Espanol expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Wanderers and Central Espanol attack and defence ratings
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wanderers vs Central Espanol: result vs prediction
Wanderers 3 – 0 Central Espanol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wanderers vs Central Espanol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wanderers | 44.9% | 2.23 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wanderers | 44.9% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Central Espanol | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.4% |
| No | 54.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wanderers win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-0 | 12.3% |
Wanderers vs Central Espanol stats
Wanderers and Central Espanol recent form
| Wanderers |
LDWLWW |
| Central Espanol |
LLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wanderers and Central Espanol going into this match
Wanderers record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Espanol record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wanderers vs Central Espanol head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Central Espanol | Wanderers | Uruguay Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2013-03-16 | Central Espanol | Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura | 0-1 |
| 2012-09-23 | Wanderers | Central Espanol | Primera División - Apertura | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Wanderers vs Central Espanol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 28.9%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.98 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.16 | 3.74 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.05 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.16 | 3.66 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.34 | 3.80 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 2.89 | 3.20 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.55 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.05 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .