Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 3

Central Espanol vs Juventud

0 – 1 Full time

Parque Palermo, MontevideoReferee: J. Feres

Central Espanol 32%
Draw 31%
Juventud 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Central Espanol vs Juventud overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Central Espanol vs Juventud

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCentral EspanolDrawJuventud
Model39.7%33.9%26.4%
Market29.1%29.6%41.3%
Final31.8%30.7%37.6%
Edge+10.6%+4.3%-15.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Central Espano ↓ / Juventud → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 11% 1 15% 15% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Central Espanol and Juventud expected goals

Central Espanol 1.09
Juventud 0.83

Total expected goals: 1.92

Central Espanol and Juventud attack and defence ratings

Central Espanol

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Juventud

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Central Espanol vs Juventud: result vs prediction

Central Espanol 0 – 1 Juventud

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 3 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Central Espanol vs Juventud markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Juventud 37.6% 2.66 -15.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.8% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score No 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.3% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.6% 1.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Central Espanol31.8%
Draw30.7%
Juventud37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.2%
Under 2.569.8%
Both teams to scoreYes38.8%
No61.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)68.2%
Handicap -1Juventud win9.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss73.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.0%
1-114.6%
1-014.6%

Central Espanol vs Juventud stats

Central Espanol and Juventud recent form

newest first
Central Espanol LWDLDD
Juventud LDDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Central Espanol and Juventud going into this match

league record before kick-off

Central Espanol record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Juventud record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Central Espanol vs Juventud head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Central Espanol wins 0Draws 0Juventud wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22JuventudCentral EspanolUruguay Primera División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Central Espanol vs Juventud odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.1%, draw 29.6%, away 41.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.92 3.10 2.36
1xBet 3.19 3.08 2.17
888Sport 3.20 3.10 2.20
Bet365 3.10 3.00 2.20
BetVictor 3.13 3.20 2.25
Betano 3.15 3.00 2.22
Betfair 3.00 3.10 2.20
Dafabet 3.25 3.25 2.31
Marathonbet 3.10 3.08 2.16
Pinnacle 3.33 3.24 2.28
SBO 2.89 2.97 2.14
Superbet 3.15 3.05 2.25
Unibet 2.95 3.00 2.30
William Hill 3.20 3.10 2.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.