Deportivo Maldonado
vs
Penarol
0 – 0 Full time
Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol
| Probability | Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.6% | 29.2% | 37.2% |
| Market | 24.3% | 28.2% | 47.5% |
| Final | 26.6% | 28.4% | 44.9% |
| Edge | +9.3% | +1.0% | -10.3% |
Why Penarol
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol: result vs prediction
Deportivo Maldonado 0 – 0 Penarol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Penarol | 44.9% | 2.23 | -10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 26.6% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Penarol | 44.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% |
| No | 46.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Penarol win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-0 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol stats
Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol recent form
| Deportivo Maldonado |
WDDLDW |
| Penarol |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol going into this match
Deportivo Maldonado record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Penarol record
- They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Penarol | Deportivo Maldonado | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Penarol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.2%, draw 28.2%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.95 | 3.30 | 1.88 |
| 1xBet | 3.77 | 3.25 | 1.90 |
| 888Sport | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 3.20 | 1.93 |
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.15 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.25 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 3.85 | 3.40 | 2.01 |
| Marathonbet | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.82 | 3.48 | 2.00 |
| SBO | 3.42 | 2.98 | 1.92 |
| Superbet | 4.20 | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| Unibet | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.78 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .