Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 3

Atletico Torque vs Wanderers

5 – 1 Full time

Estadio Centenario, MontevideoReferee: M. De Armas

Atletico Torque 46%
Draw 28%
Wanderers 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Torque vs Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Torque vs Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico TorqueDrawWanderers
Model46.1%27.8%26.1%
Market45.7%28.1%26.1%
Final45.8%28.1%26.1%
Edge+0.4%-0.3%-0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Torque

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.10.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Torqu ↓ / Wanderers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 10% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Atletico Torque and Wanderers expected goals

Atletico Torque 1.54
Wanderers 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.64

Atletico Torque and Wanderers attack and defence ratings

Atletico Torque

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Wanderers

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Torque vs Wanderers: result vs prediction

Atletico Torque 5 – 1 Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 3 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Atletico Torque vs Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Torque 45.8% 2.18 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.9% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Torque45.8%
Draw28.1%
Wanderers26.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.2%
Under 2.550.8%
Both teams to scoreYes53.7%
No46.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1Atletico Torque win24.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss53.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-09.7%
2-19.3%

Atletico Torque vs Wanderers stats

Atletico Torque and Wanderers recent form

newest first
Atletico Torque WWWLWW
Wanderers DWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Torque and Wanderers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Torque record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wanderers record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atletico Torque vs Wanderers head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Atletico Torque wins 1Draws 1Wanderers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-31Atletico TorqueWanderersUruguay Primera División0-2
2026-02-22WanderersAtletico TorqueUruguay Primera División0-4
2025-04-12WanderersAtletico TorqueUruguay Primera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Torque vs Wanderers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 28.1%, away 26.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.94 3.35 3.65
1xBet 1.99 3.18 3.53
888Sport 2.00 3.25 3.50
Bet365 1.90 3.10 3.70
BetVictor 1.95 3.40 3.60
Betano 2.02 3.20 3.40
Betfair 1.91 3.30 3.60
Dafabet 2.07 3.40 3.65
Marathonbet 1.97 3.18 3.46
Pinnacle 2.01 3.44 3.84
SBO 1.98 3.04 3.18
Superbet 2.02 3.25 3.45
Unibet 2.00 3.20 3.35
William Hill 2.00 3.25 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.02
X 3.25 ▲ +0.03
2 3.50 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .