Defensor Sporting
vs
Atletico Torque
1 – 3 Full time
Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque
| Probability | Defensor Sporting | Draw | Atletico Torque |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.2% | 23.9% | 59.9% |
| Market | 31.4% | 29.9% | 38.7% |
| Final | 27.6% | 28.4% | 44.0% |
| Edge | -15.2% | -6.0% | +21.2% |
Why Atletico Torque
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Atletico Torque below the model: +21.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Defensor Sporting and Atletico Torque expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Defensor Sporting and Atletico Torque attack and defence ratings
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque: result vs prediction
Defensor Sporting 1 – 3 Atletico Torque
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Torque | 44.0% | 2.27 | +21.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensor Sporting | 27.6% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Atletico Torque | 44.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Torque win | 35.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 40.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 0-2 | 11.0% | |
| 0-1 | 10.5% |
Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque stats
Defensor Sporting and Atletico Torque recent form
| Defensor Sporting |
DLLWLD |
| Atletico Torque |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Defensor Sporting and Atletico Torque going into this match
Defensor Sporting record
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
Atletico Torque record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Atletico Torque | Defensor Sporting | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Atletico Torque | Defensor Sporting | Uruguay Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Atletico Torque | Defensor Sporting | Uruguay Primera División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 29.9%, away 38.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.84 | 3.20 | 2.36 |
| 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.00 | 2.35 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.13 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.05 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.25 | 2.44 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| Pinnacle | 3.03 | 3.15 | 2.42 |
| SBO | 2.69 | 2.88 | 2.21 |
| Superbet | 2.92 | 3.10 | 2.35 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 2.95 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .