Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 4

Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC

1 – 0 Full time

25′Y. Oyarzo
35′H. Toledo
41′R. Gutierrez
46′R. GutierrezP. Lacoste
57′F. Couture
58′H. ToledoB. Acosta
68′F. GonzalezM. Unyicio
68′A. VeraN. Neira
70′M. Ferreira
78′R. GadeaF. Suarez
80′Agustin De la Cuesta
81′F. GinellaM. Alcoba
81′A. LopezT. Figueroa
86′E. BentancorS. Gallo
86′S. Da SilvaT. Habib

Estadio Osvaldo Roberto, MontevideoReferee: H. Heras

Racing Montevideo 49%
Draw 30%
Albion FC 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRacing MontevideoDrawAlbion FC
Model47.0%32.5%20.5%
Market49.3%29.0%21.7%
Final48.7%29.9%21.4%
Edge-2.3%+3.6%-1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Racing Montevideo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.72.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Racing Montevi ↓ / Albion FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 9% 1 16% 14% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

Racing Montevideo and Albion FC expected goals

Racing Montevideo 1.22
Albion FC 0.72

Total expected goals: 1.94

Racing Montevideo and Albion FC attack and defence ratings

Racing Montevideo

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Albion FC

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC: result vs prediction

Racing Montevideo 1 – 0 Albion FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 4 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Racing Montevideo 48.7% 2.05 -2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.2% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score No 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.0% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Racing Montevideo48.7%
Draw29.9%
Albion FC21.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.8%
Under 2.569.2%
Both teams to scoreYes37.4%
No62.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.6%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)51.3%
Handicap -1Racing Montevideo win21.8%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss53.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.3%
0-015.6%
1-113.9%

Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC stats

Racing Montevideo and Albion FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Racing Montevideo and Albion FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Racing Montevideo record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Albion FC record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Racing Montevideo wins 3Draws 0Albion FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28Albion FCRacing MontevideoUruguay Primera División1-3
2021-11-09Racing MontevideoAlbion FCSegunda División1-1
2021-07-28Albion FCRacing MontevideoSegunda División0-0
2020-11-10Albion FCRacing MontevideoSegunda División1-2
2020-09-15Racing MontevideoAlbion FCSegunda División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Racing Montevideo vs Albion FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 29.0%, away 21.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.88 3.20 4.10
1xBet 1.83 3.15 4.24
Bet365 1.80 3.10 4.20
Betano 1.90 3.15 3.95
Betfair 1.80 3.25 4.20
Dafabet 1.91 3.40 4.40
Marathonbet 1.81 3.15 4.15
Pinnacle 1.93 3.34 4.31
SBO 1.85 2.98 3.67
Superbet 1.90 3.15 4.00
Unibet 1.79 3.25 4.20
William Hill 1.85 3.10 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.13
X 3.15 ▲ +0.06
2 4.20 ▲ +0.54

13 snapshots recorded, from .