Danubio
vs
Racing Montevideo
0 – 0 Full time
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Danubio vs Racing Montevideo
| Probability | Danubio | Draw | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.7% | 38.2% | 41.1% |
| Market | 28.0% | 31.3% | 40.6% |
| Final | 26.2% | 33.0% | 40.8% |
| Edge | -7.4% | +6.9% | +0.4% |
Why Racing Montevideo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.93 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Danubio and Racing Montevideo expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.50
Danubio and Racing Montevideo attack and defence ratings
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo: result vs prediction
Danubio 0 – 0 Racing Montevideo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Montevideo | 40.8% | 2.45 | +0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Danubio | 26.2% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| Racing Montevideo | 40.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.6% |
| No | 72.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Montevideo win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.5% |
| 0-1 | 19.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo stats
Danubio and Racing Montevideo recent form
| Danubio |
DLDLDD |
| Racing Montevideo |
WDWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Danubio and Racing Montevideo going into this match
Danubio record
- They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Racing Montevideo record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Racing Montevideo | Danubio | Uruguay Primera División | 4-0 |
| 2025-06-18 | Danubio | Racing Montevideo | Uruguay Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-03 | Danubio | Racing Montevideo | Uruguay Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.3%, draw 31.2%, away 40.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.36 |
| 1xBet | 3.33 | 2.90 | 2.20 |
| 888Sport | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 2.92 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.10 | 2.35 |
| Marathonbet | 3.26 | 2.90 | 2.18 |
| Pinnacle | 3.51 | 3.05 | 2.29 |
| SBO | 2.98 | 2.78 | 2.20 |
| Superbet | 3.20 | 2.95 | 2.27 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 2.88 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .