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Uruguay Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 5

Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers

2 – 0 Full time

20′S. Ramirez
36′J. UrretaviscayaG. Freitas
47′Maximiliano González
58′Gonzalo Freitas
65′C. Tabo
66′G. LarrazabalC. Mayada
66′S. RamirezG. Sosa
71′N. QueirozR. Rivero
71′T. HernandezF. Labandeira
77′C. TaboL. Ibanez
77′S. CartagenaE. Mozzone
79′Alan Garcia
81′S. BenitezS. Oriol
81′J. LunaS. Ormeno
84′Gonzalo Freitas
84′Gonzalo Freitas
85′M. GonzalezL. Nunez
90′Hernán Menosse

Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel, MaldonadoReferee: H. Heras

Deportivo Maldonado 46%
Draw 28%
Wanderers 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo MaldonadoDrawWanderers
Model44.9%28.4%26.7%
Market46.3%28.5%25.2%
Final45.9%28.5%25.6%
Edge-1.4%-0.1%+1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Maldonado

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.10.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Mald ↓ / Wanderers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Deportivo Maldonado and Wanderers expected goals

Deportivo Maldonado 1.48
Wanderers 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.57

Deportivo Maldonado and Wanderers attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Maldonado

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Wanderers

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers: result vs prediction

Deportivo Maldonado 2 – 0 Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 5 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Maldonado 45.9% 2.18 -1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.7% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Maldonado45.9%
Draw28.5%
Wanderers25.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.7%
No47.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.4%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)54.1%
Handicap -1Deportivo Maldonado win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-010.0%
2-19.1%

Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers stats

Deportivo Maldonado and Wanderers recent form

newest first
Deportivo Maldonado LDWDDL
Wanderers WLDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Maldonado and Wanderers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Maldonado record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wanderers record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Deportivo Maldonado wins 3Draws 3Wanderers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24WanderersDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Primera División1-1
2026-03-06WanderersDeportivo MaldonadoUruguay Primera División0-0
2024-09-20Deportivo MaldonadoWanderersPrimera División - Clausura1-3
2024-07-27WanderersDeportivo MaldonadoPrimera División - Apertura1-0
2024-03-11WanderersDeportivo MaldonadoPrimera División - Apertura0-0
2023-11-15Deportivo MaldonadoWanderersPrimera División - Clausura3-0
2023-04-07WanderersDeportivo MaldonadoPrimera División - Apertura0-1
2022-09-13Deportivo MaldonadoWanderersPrimera División - Clausura1-0
2022-07-09Deportivo MaldonadoWanderersPrimera División - Apertura1-2
2022-04-11WanderersDeportivo MaldonadoPrimera División - Apertura0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 28.5%, away 25.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.98 3.30 3.55
1xBet 1.97 3.18 3.61
Bet365 1.95 3.10 3.70
BetVictor 1.95 3.25 3.60
Betano 2.02 3.15 3.50
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.60
Dafabet 2.05 3.35 3.80
Marathonbet 1.95 3.18 3.54
Pinnacle 2.04 3.41 3.76
SBO 1.94 2.91 3.22
Superbet 2.00 3.20 3.60
Unibet 2.08 3.30 3.45
William Hill 2.00 3.10 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.96 ▲ +0.02
X 3.18 ▼ -0.09
2 3.60 ▼ -0.02

11 snapshots recorded, from .