Uruguay Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 5
Club Nacional
vs
Juventud
2 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | B. Larregui | ||
| 6′ | K. Rolon | ||
| 9′ | L. Rodriguez | ||
| 44′ | E. Cecchini | ||
| 46′ | S. CoatesA. Rogel | ||
| 46′ | J. De Los SantosR. Martinez | ||
| 52′ | F. Barrandeguy | ||
| 67′ | S. SilvaA. Dos Santos | ||
| 67′ | F. Calvo | ||
| 75′ | P. Pernicone | ||
| 76′ | K. RolonR. Rabino | ||
| 76′ | E. CecchiniM. Diaz | ||
| 76′ | A. CruzA. Alaniz | ||
| 80′ | R. Peralta | ||
| 81′ | L. BoggioB. Zuculini | ||
| 83′ | G. PereiroF. Mimbacas | ||
| 85′ | M. SilveraT. Correa | ||
| 86′ | F. BarrandeguyJ. Boselli | ||
| 90′ | A. Alaniz |
Club Nacional
48%
Draw
28%
Juventud
24%
Club Nacional vs Juventud overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Nacional vs Juventud
| Probability | Club Nacional | Draw | Juventud |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.6% | 34.6% | 31.8% |
| Market | 52.8% | 26.1% | 21.0% |
| Final | 48.0% | 28.2% | 23.7% |
| Edge | -19.3% | +8.5% | +10.8% |
Why Club Nacional
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
29%
No goals
16%
Club Nacional and Juventud expected goals
Club Nacional
0.96
Juventud
0.93
Total expected goals: 1.89
Club Nacional and Juventud attack and defence ratings
Club Nacional
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Juventud
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club Nacional vs Juventud: result vs prediction
Club Nacional 2 – 2 Juventud
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Club Nacional vs Juventud markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Nacional | 48.0% | 2.08 | -19.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Nacional | 48.0% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Juventud | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.7% |
| No | 61.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Nacional win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 66.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.2% |
Club Nacional vs Juventud stats
Club Nacional and Juventud recent form
| Club Nacional |
WWLLWW |
| Juventud |
WWLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Nacional and Juventud going into this match
Club Nacional record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juventud record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Nacional vs Juventud head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Club Nacional wins
1Draws
2Juventud wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Club Nacional | Juventud | Uruguay Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Juventud | Club Nacional | Uruguay Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Juventud | Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-18 | Club Nacional | Juventud | Uruguay Primera División | 4-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Club Nacional | Juventud | Uruguay Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2019-12-05 | Juventud | Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura | 0-3 |
| 2019-08-25 | Juventud | Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura | 0-2 |
| 2019-05-31 | Club Nacional | Juventud | Primera División - Apertura | 1-0 |
| 2017-08-19 | Club Nacional | Juventud | Primera División - Clausura | 3-0 |
| 2017-02-04 | Juventud | Club Nacional | Primera División - Apertura | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Nacional vs Juventud odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 26.1%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.48 | 4.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.48 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.74 | 4.54 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.33 |