Uruguay Primera División · 2026-09-20T13:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Clausura - 7

Albion FC vs Juventud

1 – 3 Full time

4′			F. Mimbacas
7′			F. Mimbacas
46′			A. VeraI. Zufiaurre
48′			R. Peralta
49′			S. Sosa
56′			A. Lopez
64′			G. PereiroM. Diaz
64′			A. CruzR. Chagas
67′			I. Zufiaurre
77′			F. MimbacasB. Larregui
78′			M. Diaz
79′			S. CostaT. Figueroa
79′			F. GinellaN. Neira
84′			E. CecchiniF. Perez
84′			R. PeraltaA. Alaniz
86′			T. MoschionB. Perez del Castillo

Estadio Luis Franzini, MontevideoReferee: J. Feres

Albion FC

35%

Draw

30%

Juventud

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Albion FC vs Juventud overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Albion FC vs Juventud

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Albion FC	Draw	Juventud
Model	31.4%	31.7%	36.8%
Market	36.2%	29.2%	34.5%
Final	35.0%	29.9%	35.1%
Edge	-4.8%	+2.5%	+2.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Juventud

Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Juventud below the model: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

88%

2+ goals

66%

3+ goals

38%

No goals

12%

Albion FC and Juventud expected goals

Albion FC

1.05

Juventud

1.15

Total expected goals: 2.20

Albion FC and Juventud attack and defence ratings

Albion FC

Attack

0.78 -22%

Defence

1.26 +26%

Juventud

Attack

0.87 -13%

Defence

1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Albion FC vs Juventud: result vs prediction

Albion FC 1 – 3 Juventud

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Uruguay Primera División

Boston River vs Progreso · 2026-09-19
Cerro v Penarol — match page · 2026-09-19
Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Danubio v Wanderers — match page · 2026-09-20
Club Nacional vs Defensor Sporting — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Liverpool Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo · 2026-09-20
Central Espanol v Atletico Torque — match page · 2026-09-21

Before and after this match

Albion FC, previous: Penarol vs Albion FC prediction
Albion FC, next: Wanderers vs Albion FC prediction
Juventud, previous: Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud analysis
Juventud, next: Juventud v Cerro analysis

Albion FC vs Juventud markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Juventud	35.1%	2.85	+2.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	62.3%	1.61	—	—
Both teams to score	No	54.2%	1.84	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.1%	1.43	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	63.2%	1.58	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Albion FC	35.0%
	Draw	29.9%
	Juventud	35.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	37.7%
	Under 2.5	62.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	45.8%
	No	54.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	64.9%
	12 (either side)	70.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	65.0%
Handicap -1	Juventud win	16.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.9%
	Loss	63.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.7%
	0-0	12.4%
	0-1	11.4%

Albion FC vs Juventud stats

Albion FC and Juventud recent form

newest first

Albion FC	LLLLLL
Juventud	LDDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Albion FC and Juventud going into this match

league record before kick-off

Albion FC record

They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Juventud record

They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Albion FC vs Juventud head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Albion FC wins 3Draws 2Juventud wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-07-17	Albion FC	Juventud	Uruguay Primera División	0-1
2026-03-22	Juventud	Albion FC	Uruguay Primera División	0-1
2024-10-23	Juventud	Albion FC	Copa Uruguay	0-2
2024-09-25	Juventud	Albion FC	Segunda División	0-0
2024-06-11	Albion FC	Juventud	Segunda División	1-0
2024-03-24	Albion FC	Juventud	Segunda División	1-1
2023-11-11	Albion FC	Juventud	Segunda División	3-2
2023-06-25	Juventud	Albion FC	Segunda División	1-0
2022-08-31	Juventud	Albion FC	Copa Uruguay	0-0
2021-09-22	Albion FC	Juventud	Segunda División	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Albion FC vs Juventud odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 29.2%, away 34.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.48	3.05	2.58
Bet365	2.55	3.10	2.55
BetVictor	2.60	3.20	2.63
Betano	2.50	3.10	2.65
Betfair	2.40	3.25	2.63
Marathonbet	2.48	3.06	2.57
Pinnacle	2.63	3.28	2.76
William Hill	2.50	3.00	2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▼ -0.01

X 3.10 ▲ +0.05

2 2.62 ▲ +0.02

7 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-17T08:10:02Z.