Juan Pablo II College
vs
Alianza Lima
1 – 1 Full time
| 33′ | M. Almiron | ||
| 43′ | E. Castillo | ||
| 54′ | N. RamirezJ. Duran | ||
| 64′ | G. GentileA. Cantero | ||
| 71′ | C. FloresC. Villanueva | ||
| 71′ | A. RojasJ. Torres | ||
| 73′ | L. AdvinculaC. Carbajal | ||
| 73′ | F. GaiborA. Burlamaqui | ||
| 73′ | E. CastilloL. Ramos | ||
| 75′ | E. RamirezJ. Toledo | ||
| 76′ | J. PositoM. Rodriguez | ||
| 79′ | Matias Almiron | ||
| 82′ | Alessandro Burlamaqui | ||
| 85′ | N. DiazM. Antoni |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 243 | Accurate passes | 315 |
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima
| Probability | Juan Pablo II College | Draw | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 27.5% | 40.7% |
| Market | 19.5% | 24.9% | 55.6% |
| Final | 22.6% | 25.6% | 51.8% |
| Edge | +12.3% | +2.6% | -14.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima attack and defence ratings
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima: result vs prediction
Juan Pablo II College 1 – 1 Alianza Lima
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza Lima | 51.8% | 1.93 | -14.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juan Pablo II College | 22.6% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Alianza Lima | 51.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza Lima win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 7.9% |
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima stats
Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima recent form
| WWLDLW | |
| LDWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima going into this match
Juan Pablo II College record
- They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alianza Lima record
- They have won 15 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Alianza Lima | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Juan Pablo II College | Alianza Lima | Peru Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Alianza Lima | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.2%, draw 25.1%, away 54.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.65 | 3.70 | 1.71 |
| 1xBet | 4.77 | 3.72 | 1.68 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.75 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 3.70 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.50 | 3.55 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 3.75 | 1.74 |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 3.72 | 1.66 |
| Pinnacle | 4.57 | 3.78 | 1.68 |
| SBO | 4.01 | 3.30 | 1.62 |
| Superbet | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.72 |
| Unibet | 4.10 | 3.50 | 1.89 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .