Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima

1 – 1 Full time

33′M. Almiron
43′E. Castillo
54′N. RamirezJ. Duran
64′G. GentileA. Cantero
71′C. FloresC. Villanueva
71′A. RojasJ. Torres
73′L. AdvinculaC. Carbajal
73′F. GaiborA. Burlamaqui
73′E. CastilloL. Ramos
75′E. RamirezJ. Toledo
76′J. PositoM. Rodriguez
79′Matias Almiron
82′Alessandro Burlamaqui
85′N. DiazM. Antoni

Complejo Deportivo Juan Pablo II, ChongoyapeReferee: Joel Alarcon, Peru

Juan Pablo II College 23%
Draw 26%
Alianza Lima 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
44 Possession % 56
2 Corners 4
12 Fouls 10
1 Saves 4
243 Accurate passes 315

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJuan Pablo II CollegeDrawAlianza Lima
Model31.8%27.5%40.7%
Market19.5%24.9%55.6%
Final22.6%25.6%51.8%
Edge+12.3%+2.6%-14.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Juan Pablo II ↓ / Alianza Lima → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima expected goals

Juan Pablo II College 1.30
Alianza Lima 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.79

Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima attack and defence ratings

Juan Pablo II College

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Alianza Lima

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima: result vs prediction

Juan Pablo II College 1 – 1 Alianza Lima

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Alianza Lima 51.8% 1.93 -14.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.1% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.8% 1.73 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.4% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Juan Pablo II College22.6%
Draw25.6%
Alianza Lima51.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.1%
Under 2.546.9%
Both teams to scoreYes57.8%
No42.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.2%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)77.4%
Handicap -1Alianza Lima win20.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-28.9%
0-17.9%

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima stats

Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Juan Pablo II College and Alianza Lima going into this match

league record before kick-off

Juan Pablo II College record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Alianza Lima record

  • They have won 15 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Juan Pablo II College wins 0Draws 3Alianza Lima wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Alianza LimaJuan Pablo II CollegePeru Primera División2-0
2025-08-01Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza LimaPeru Primera División1-2
2025-02-22Alianza LimaJuan Pablo II CollegePeru Primera División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.2%, draw 25.1%, away 54.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.65 3.70 1.71
1xBet 4.77 3.72 1.68
Bet365 4.75 3.75 1.60
BetVictor 4.80 3.70 1.65
Betano 4.50 3.55 1.70
Betfair 4.20 3.60 1.70
Dafabet 4.80 3.75 1.74
Marathonbet 4.80 3.72 1.66
Pinnacle 4.57 3.78 1.68
SBO 4.01 3.30 1.62
Superbet 4.50 3.60 1.72
Unibet 4.10 3.50 1.89
William Hill 4.60 3.50 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.76 ▲ +0.44
X 3.72 ▲ +0.12
2 1.67 ▼ -0.08

12 snapshots recorded, from .