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Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 9

UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College

1 – 2 Full time

24′Luis Arce
24′David Camacho
26′Adolfo Muñoz
45′Nilton Ramirez
49′Bruno Duarte
53′Christian FloresJack·Duran
53′Nilton RamirezArón Sánchez
63′Gilmar Paredes
64′Paolo ReynaHugo Ancajima
67′Gilmar ParedesSantiago Gálvez
76′Adolfo MuñozDavid Dioses
77′Juan Pablo GoicocheaMateo Rodríguez
77′Álvaro RojasC. Villanueva
82′C. Villanueva
84′Luis ArceMarlon de Jesús
84′Joshua Cantt
89′Janio Pósito
90′Hugo Ancajima
90′Manuel Ganoza
90′Manuel Ganoza
90′Pablo Miguez

Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, CajamarcaReferee: Jesus Cartagena, Peru

UTC Cajamarca 47%
Draw 26%
Juan Pablo II College 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 23
7 Shots on target 6
38 Possession % 62
3 Corners 5
11 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
4 Saves 6
242 Accurate passes 423

UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College overview

Garuda Lions analysis: UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUTC CajamarcaDrawJuan Pablo II College
Model33.9%24.0%42.1%
Market50.7%26.8%22.5%
Final46.5%26.1%27.4%
Edge-16.8%-2.8%+19.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

UTC Cajamarca ↓ / Juan Pablo II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 10% 9% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

UTC Cajamarca and Juan Pablo II College expected goals

UTC Cajamarca 1.65
Juan Pablo II College 1.85

Total expected goals: 3.50

UTC Cajamarca and Juan Pablo II College attack and defence ratings

UTC Cajamarca

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.53 +53%

Juan Pablo II College

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College: result vs prediction

UTC Cajamarca 1 – 2 Juan Pablo II College

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 UTC Cajamarca 46.5% 2.15 -16.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.8% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.0% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.1% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2UTC Cajamarca46.5%
Draw26.1%
Juan Pablo II College27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.8%
Under 2.532.2%
Both teams to scoreYes69.0%
No31.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)53.5%
Handicap -1UTC Cajamarca win17.2%
Push (exactly one goal)16.7%
Loss66.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
1-28.5%
2-17.6%

UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College stats

UTC Cajamarca and Juan Pablo II College recent form

newest first
UTC Cajamarca LLLLDL
Juan Pablo II College DWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

UTC Cajamarca and Juan Pablo II College going into this match

league record before kick-off

UTC Cajamarca record

  • They have won 4 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Juan Pablo II College record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0UTC Cajamarca wins 1Draws 2Juan Pablo II College wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05Juan Pablo II CollegeUTC CajamarcaPeru Primera División2-1
2025-08-16UTC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II CollegePeru Primera División0-0
2025-03-30Juan Pablo II CollegeUTC CajamarcaPeru Primera División4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 27.0%, away 22.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.83 3.40 4.40
1xBet 1.85 3.50 4.29
888Sport 1.85 3.25 4.20
Bet365 1.83 3.50 4.33
BetVictor 1.75 3.60 4.20
Betano 1.80 3.45 4.10
Betfair 1.75 3.60 4.00
Dafabet 1.86 3.55 4.40
Marathonbet 1.84 3.44 4.10
Pinnacle 1.84 3.46 4.09
SBO 1.79 3.07 3.53
Superbet 1.83 3.40 4.15
Unibet 1.80 3.40 4.80
William Hill 1.85 3.30 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.84 ▼ -0.16
X 3.48 ▲ +0.13
2 4.15 ▲ +0.55

10 snapshots recorded, from .