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Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua

4 – 0 Full time

12′Cristian Enciso
25′Nicolas Chavez
29′Matías Kevin Almirón Llanes
33′Erinson Ramirez
43′Yorman Zapata
45′Fabio AgurtoHugo Ancajima
45′Cristian Enciso
45′Matías Kevin Almirón LlanesJack·Duran
50′Mateo Rodríguez
57′Mateo Rodríguez
60′Jeferson CollazosClaudio Ramírez
65′Erinson RamirezHéctor Bazán
65′Mateo RodríguezJanio Pósito
70′Juan Pablo GoicocheaJ. Torres
72′Claudio Ramírez
73′Yorman ZapataEdgar Miguel Santillán Vargas
74′Nicolas AmasifuenJimmy Jiménez
82′Edgar LastreKevin Ferreyra
82′R. ChipaoJosé Luis Granda
83′José Luis Granda
85′Janio Pósito

Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II, ChongoyapeReferee: Roberto Perez Gutierrez

Juan Pablo II College 58%
Draw 24%
UCV Moquegua 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
69 Possession % 31
6 Corners 0
15 Fouls 14
1 Saves 3
398 Accurate passes 182

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJuan Pablo II CollegeDrawUCV Moquegua
Model65.4%21.8%12.8%
Market56.1%24.9%19.0%
Final58.4%24.1%17.5%
Edge+9.3%-3.1%-6.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Juan Pablo II College

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Juan Pablo II College below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Juan Pablo II ↓ / UCV Moquegua → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 10% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Juan Pablo II College and UCV Moquegua expected goals

Juan Pablo II College 2.06
UCV Moquegua 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.87

Juan Pablo II College and UCV Moquegua attack and defence ratings

Juan Pablo II College

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.14 +14%

UCV Moquegua

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua: result vs prediction

Juan Pablo II College 4 – 0 UCV Moquegua

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Juan Pablo II College 58.4% 1.71 +9.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score No 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.5% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Juan Pablo II College win 41.7% 2.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Juan Pablo II College58.4%
Draw24.1%
UCV Moquegua17.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.7%
Under 2.545.3%
Both teams to scoreYes49.5%
No50.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.5%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)41.6%
Handicap -1Juan Pablo II College win41.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss34.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.0%
1-010.7%
1-110.4%

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua stats

Juan Pablo II College and UCV Moquegua recent form

newest first
Juan Pablo II College WDWWLD
UCV Moquegua LLLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Juan Pablo II College and UCV Moquegua going into this match

league record before kick-off

Juan Pablo II College record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

UCV Moquegua record

  • They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Juan Pablo II College wins 0Draws 1UCV Moquegua wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-14UCV MoqueguaJuan Pablo II CollegePeru Primera División3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.1%, draw 24.9%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.65 3.72 4.88
Bet365 1.67 3.60 5.25
BetVictor 1.65 3.80 4.80
Betano 1.70 3.95 5.50
Betfair 1.57 3.80 4.75
Marathonbet 1.63 3.72 4.90
Pinnacle 1.65 3.78 4.86
SBO 1.52 3.58 4.74
William Hill 1.67 3.50 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▲ +0.05
X 3.72 ▼ -0.06
2 4.86 ▼ -0.38

14 snapshots recorded, from .