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Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca

3 – 2 Full time

1′Marlon de Jesús
43′Marcelo·Gaona
45′Joshua Cantt
45′Arquímedes Figuera
45′Ricardo Salcedo
45′Javier Sanguinetti
45′Ricardo SalcedoAldo Quinonez
60′Joshua CanttAdolfo Muñoz
64′Ronal HuacchaDaniel porozo
69′Diego Carabaño
69′Javier SanguinettiRick Campodonico
70′Luis ArceJhosep Nunez
81′Omar Alberto Labrador Gutierrez
83′Marlon de Jesús
84′Piero MagallanesJuan David Martínez
84′Diego CarabañoE. Villar
84′Daniel porozo
86′Daniel porozo
89′Arquímedes FigueraSantiago Gálvez
89′Gilmar ParedesIgnacio Barrios

Estadio Huancayo, HuancayoReferee: Joel Alarcon

Sport Huancayo 67%
Draw 19%
UTC Cajamarca 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
55 Possession % 45
7 Corners 1
20 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
332 Accurate passes 260

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySport HuancayoDrawUTC Cajamarca
Model71.7%17.4%10.9%
Market65.8%20.0%14.2%
Final67.3%19.4%13.3%
Edge+5.9%-2.6%-3.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Sport Huancayo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.57 vs 0.94.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sport Huancayo below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sport Huancayo ↓ / UTC Cajamarca → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 8% 2 10% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 10% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Sport Huancayo and UTC Cajamarca expected goals

Sport Huancayo 2.57
UTC Cajamarca 0.94

Total expected goals: 3.50

Sport Huancayo and UTC Cajamarca attack and defence ratings

Sport Huancayo

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.08 +8%

UTC Cajamarca

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.50 +50%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca: result vs prediction

Sport Huancayo 3 – 2 UTC Cajamarca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sport Huancayo 67.3% 1.49 +5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.0% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.9% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.7% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Sport Huancayo win 50.9% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sport Huancayo67.3%
Draw19.4%
UTC Cajamarca13.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.0%
Under 2.532.0%
Both teams to scoreYes56.9%
No43.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.7%
12 (either side)80.6%
X2 (draw or away)32.7%
Handicap -1Sport Huancayo win50.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss28.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-09.9%
2-19.3%
3-08.5%

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca stats

Sport Huancayo and UTC Cajamarca recent form

newest first
Sport Huancayo WWWLLD
UTC Cajamarca LLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sport Huancayo and UTC Cajamarca going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sport Huancayo record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

UTC Cajamarca record

  • They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Sport Huancayo wins 5Draws 0UTC Cajamarca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-15UTC CajamarcaSport HuancayoPeru Primera División2-2
2025-11-09UTC CajamarcaSport HuancayoPeru Primera División0-3
2025-07-04Sport HuancayoUTC CajamarcaPeru Primera División1-0
2024-11-02UTC CajamarcaSport HuancayoPrimera División1-1
2024-05-25Sport HuancayoUTC CajamarcaPrimera División1-1
2023-06-30UTC CajamarcaSport HuancayoPrimera División0-0
2023-05-12Sport HuancayoUTC CajamarcaPrimera División5-1
2022-08-14Sport HuancayoUTC CajamarcaPrimera División4-0
2022-03-21UTC CajamarcaSport HuancayoPrimera División3-4
2021-07-31Sport HuancayoUTC CajamarcaPrimera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.8%, draw 20.0%, away 14.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.40 4.80 6.54
Bet365 1.40 4.50 7.50
BetVictor 1.40 4.50 6.50
Betano 1.44 4.85 7.90
Betfair 1.33 4.60 6.50
Marathonbet 1.40 4.60 6.45
Pinnacle 1.36 4.63 7.79
SBO 1.34 4.24 6.09
William Hill 1.40 4.60 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▲ +0.02
X 4.60 ▲ +0.22
2 6.50 ▼ -1.00

15 snapshots recorded, from .