Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 10

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco

1 – 2 Full time

16′Ivan Colman
26′José Mauricio Arrasco Calderón
45′Facundo Callejo
45′Carlos CorreaPaulo Goyoneche
55′Brandon Palacios
69′José ManzanedaDiego Soto
69′Ivan ColmanMarlon Ruidías
73′Carlos GómezJosé Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez
81′Nicolás SilvaJuan Manuel Tévez
81′Carlos DiezOswaldo Valenzuela
86′Jefferson OrejuelaSebastien Pineau
90′Diego Soto
90′Jonathan Medina

Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, CajamarcaReferee: Junior Rivera

FC Cajamarca 36%
Draw 25%
Cusco 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
53 Possession % 47
2 Corners 3
12 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
1 Saves 5
349 Accurate passes 320

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Cajamarca vs Cusco

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC CajamarcaDrawCusco
Model48.3%21.7%30.0%
Market32.1%26.1%41.8%
Final36.1%25.0%38.9%
Edge+16.2%-4.4%-11.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Cajamarca ↓ / Cusco → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

FC Cajamarca and Cusco expected goals

FC Cajamarca 2.23
Cusco 1.75

Total expected goals: 3.99

FC Cajamarca and Cusco attack and defence ratings

FC Cajamarca

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 1.49 +49%

Cusco

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco: result vs prediction

FC Cajamarca 1 – 2 Cusco

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cusco 38.9% 2.57 -11.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.0% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.5% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.0% 1.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Cajamarca36.1%
Draw25.0%
Cusco38.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.0%
Under 2.524.0%
Both teams to scoreYes74.5%
No25.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.1%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)63.9%
Handicap -1Cusco win15.3%
Push (exactly one goal)14.7%
Loss70.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.1%
1-18.0%
2-27.1%

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco stats

FC Cajamarca and Cusco recent form

newest first
FC Cajamarca WLWLLW
Cusco LWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Cajamarca and Cusco going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Cajamarca record

  • They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).

Cusco record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0FC Cajamarca wins 0Draws 1Cusco wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-22CuscoFC CajamarcaPeru Primera División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Cajamarca vs Cusco odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 26.1%, away 42.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.87 3.58 2.21
Bet365 2.90 3.40 2.25
BetVictor 2.88 3.50 2.20
Betano 3.10 3.40 2.12
Betfair 2.90 3.60 2.05
Marathonbet 2.85 3.64 2.17
Pinnacle 2.75 3.77 2.23
SBO 2.81 3.20 1.99
William Hill 2.90 3.50 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▼ -0.12
X 3.54 ▼ -0.06
2 2.21 ▲ +0.12

13 snapshots recorded, from .