ADT
vs
FC Cajamarca
Garuda Lions Prediction: ADT
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
ADT vs FC Cajamarca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ADT vs FC Cajamarca
| Probability | ADT | Draw | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 23.8% | 39.1% |
| Market | 54.4% | 25.1% | 20.5% |
| Final | 50.1% | 24.7% | 25.2% |
| Edge | -17.3% | -1.3% | +18.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.73, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
ADT vs FC Cajamarca match preview
In the upcoming match between ADT and FC Cajamarca, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with ADT holding a 50% chance of winning, while both a draw and a victory for FC Cajamarca are at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of ADT, with an 8% likelihood. The expected goals are closely matched, with ADT at 1.77 and FC Cajamarca at 1.81, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game.
Recent form shows ADT struggling with one win in their last six matches, while FC Cajamarca has also faced difficulties, winning only two of their last six. The head-to-head record from their last encounter shows no wins for either side, with one draw. Our model indicates a 69% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 70% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ADT and FC Cajamarca expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
ADT and FC Cajamarca attack and defence ratings
ADT
FC Cajamarca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College — team news & stats
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- UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal — team news & stats
- Sport Boys v Alianza Atletico — match page
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Before and after this match
ADT vs FC Cajamarca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ADT | 50.1% | 2.00 | -17.3% | 1.73 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ADT | 50.1% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| FC Cajamarca | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.4% |
| No | 29.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | ADT win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
ADT vs FC Cajamarca stats
ADT and FC Cajamarca recent form
| ADT |
WLLLLD |
| FC Cajamarca |
LWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ADT and FC Cajamarca season so far
ADT record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Cajamarca record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).
ADT vs FC Cajamarca head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | FC Cajamarca | ADT | Peru Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-18 | FC Cajamarca | ADT | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ADT vs FC Cajamarca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.4%, draw 25.1%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.68 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.68 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.72 | 4.44 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.41 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
22 snapshots recorded, from .