Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 11

ADT vs FC Cajamarca

0 – 0 Full time

4′Paulo Goyoneche
37′Jhon Vega
45′Aylton Mazzo
45′Carlos Gómez
46′Joaquín Pereira
48′Carlos Meza
53′Carlos GómezR. Suárez
54′Aylton MazzoJhojan Garcilazo
62′R. Suárez
63′Said PeraltaJonathan Bauman
63′Joaquín PereiraJhair Soto
82′P. CejasHairo Camacho
82′Alejandro RamosJerry Navarro
82′John NarváezOmar Vidal Ramírez Lozano
88′Omar Vidal Ramírez Lozano
90′José Mauricio Arrasco CalderónJosé Reinaldo Lugo Quiñónez

Estadio Union Tarma, TarmaReferee: Mike Palomino

ADT 48%
Draw 26%
FC Cajamarca 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

36 Shots 11
13 Shots on target 6
66 Possession % 34
9 Corners 3
10 Fouls 9
6 Saves 13
357 Accurate passes 149

ADT vs FC Cajamarca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ADT vs FC Cajamarca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityADTDrawFC Cajamarca
Model37.0%23.7%39.2%
Market51.5%26.1%22.3%
Final47.9%25.5%26.6%
Edge-3.6%-0.6%+4.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ADT ↓ / FC Cajamarca → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

ADT and FC Cajamarca expected goals

ADT 1.77
FC Cajamarca 1.82

Total expected goals: 3.59

ADT and FC Cajamarca attack and defence ratings

ADT

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.36 +36%

FC Cajamarca

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.48 +48%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ADT vs FC Cajamarca: result vs prediction

ADT 0 – 0 FC Cajamarca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

ADT vs FC Cajamarca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ADT 47.9% 2.09 -3.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.5% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.4% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.0% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ADT47.9%
Draw25.5%
FC Cajamarca26.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.5%
Under 2.530.5%
Both teams to scoreYes70.4%
No29.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.4%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)52.1%
Handicap -1ADT win19.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss63.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
1-28.1%
2-17.9%

ADT vs FC Cajamarca stats

ADT and FC Cajamarca recent form

newest first
ADT WLLLLD
FC Cajamarca LWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ADT and FC Cajamarca going into this match

league record before kick-off

ADT record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Cajamarca record

  • They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).

ADT vs FC Cajamarca head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0ADT wins 1Draws 1FC Cajamarca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18FC CajamarcaADTPeru Primera División2-2
2026-01-18FC CajamarcaADTFriendlies Clubs2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ADT vs FC Cajamarca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.5%, draw 26.1%, away 22.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.82 3.52 4.06
Bet365 1.75 3.50 4.33
BetVictor 1.70 3.70 4.33
Betano 1.95 3.70 4.15
Betfair 1.75 3.60 3.90
Dafabet 1.76 3.90 4.40
Marathonbet 1.87 3.44 3.84
Pinnacle 1.87 3.49 3.90
SBO 1.63 3.46 4.03
William Hill 1.80 3.40 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.78 ▼ -0.09
X 3.51 ▼ -0.04
2 4.11 ▲ +0.36

24 snapshots recorded, from .