Deportivo Garcilaso
vs
Sport Huancayo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Garcilaso
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
| Probability | Deportivo Garcilaso | Draw | Sport Huancayo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.9% | 17.0% | 8.0% |
| Market | 41.3% | 29.8% | 29.0% |
| Final | 49.7% | 26.6% | 23.8% |
| Edge | +33.7% | -12.7% | -20.9% |
Why Deportivo Garcilaso
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 0.71.
- The market prices Deportivo Garcilaso below the model: +33.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.34, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo match preview
Deportivo Garcilaso enters this match with a strong recent form, recording four wins and a draw in their last six matches. Their expected goals stand at 2.44, suggesting a potent attacking display, while Sport Huancayo has a significantly lower expected goals figure of 0.71. The probabilities indicate a 50% chance for Deportivo Garcilaso to win, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 13%.
Sport Huancayo, despite a recent streak of four wins, has struggled in their last two matches, leading to a mixed form overall. Historically, in their last seven encounters, Deportivo Garcilaso has secured one win, while Sport Huancayo has three wins and three draws. The model predicts a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score, highlighting the potential for an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 11 fixtures
- UCV Moquegua v Cienciano — match page
- Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- ADT vs FC Cajamarca — team news & stats
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College — team news & stats
- Universitario vs FBC Melgar
- UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal — team news & stats
- Sport Boys v Alianza Atletico — match page
- Cusco v Alianza Lima — match page
Before and after this match
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 49.7% | 2.01 | +33.7% | 2.34 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Garcilaso win | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 49.7% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Sport Huancayo | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Garcilaso win | 53.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 25.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.8% |
| 3-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo stats
Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo recent form
| Deportivo Garcilaso |
WLWWWD |
| Sport Huancayo |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo season so far
Deportivo Garcilaso record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Huancayo record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Sport Huancayo | Deportivo Garcilaso | Peru Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Deportivo Garcilaso | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Sport Huancayo | Deportivo Garcilaso | Peru Primera División | 0-3 |
| 2024-07-19 | Sport Huancayo | Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-05 | Deportivo Garcilaso | Sport Huancayo | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2023-09-21 | Sport Huancayo | Deportivo Garcilaso | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Deportivo Garcilaso | Sport Huancayo | Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 29.8%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.06 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.34 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.06 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 2.99 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.07 | 2.91 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
22 snapshots recorded, from .