Peru Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 11
Cusco
vs
Alianza Lima
1 – 2 Full time
| 38′ | Mateo Antoni Pavon | ||
| 45′ | Jairo Vélez | ||
| 45′ | Aldair Fuentes | ||
| 45′ | José ManzanedaMarlon Ruidías | ||
| 45′ | Carlos DiezDiego Soto | ||
| 45′ | Nicolás SilvaAlvaro Ampuero | ||
| 56′ | Diego Soto | ||
| 60′ | Gianfranco ChavezJesús Castillo | ||
| 60′ | Kevin QuevedoFederico Girotti | ||
| 73′ | Fernando GaiborCristian Neira | ||
| 73′ | José ZevallosLucas Colitto | ||
| 73′ | Ivan ColmanMiguel Silveira | ||
| 75′ | Alvaro Ampuero | ||
| 86′ | Jairo VélezNicolás Díaz | ||
| 86′ | Erick CastilloCristian Carbajal |
Cusco
41%
Draw
30%
Alianza Lima
29%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 390 | Accurate passes | 287 |
Cusco vs Alianza Lima overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cusco vs Alianza Lima
| Probability | Cusco | Draw | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.1% | 29.1% | 27.8% |
| Market | 41.0% | 30.0% | 29.0% |
| Final | 41.5% | 29.8% | 28.7% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
Why Cusco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
45%
No goals
10%
Cusco and Alianza Lima expected goals
Cusco
1.40
Alianza Lima
1.09
Total expected goals: 2.49
Cusco and Alianza Lima attack and defence ratings
Cusco
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Alianza Lima
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cusco vs Alianza Lima: result vs prediction
Cusco 1 – 2 Alianza Lima
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 11 fixtures
- UCV Moquegua v Cienciano — match page
- Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo
- ADT vs FC Cajamarca — team news & stats
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College — team news & stats
- Universitario vs FBC Melgar
- UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal — team news & stats
- Sport Boys v Alianza Atletico — match page
Before and after this match
Cusco vs Alianza Lima markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cusco | 41.5% | 2.41 | +0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cusco | 41.5% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Alianza Lima | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cusco win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Cusco vs Alianza Lima stats
Cusco and Alianza Lima recent form
| Cusco |
WLWWLW |
| Alianza Lima |
WLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cusco and Alianza Lima going into this match
Cusco record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
Alianza Lima record
- They have won 16 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Cusco vs Alianza Lima head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Cusco wins
2Draws
4Alianza Lima wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Alianza Lima | Cusco | Peru Primera División | 8-0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Cusco | Alianza Lima | Peru Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Alianza Lima | Cusco | Peru Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Alianza Lima | Cusco | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-24 | Cusco | Alianza Lima | Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2023-08-13 | Cusco | Alianza Lima | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2023-03-12 | Alianza Lima | Cusco | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-17 | Cusco | Alianza Lima | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2021-03-30 | Alianza Lima | Cusco | Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2020-11-16 | Cusco | Alianza Lima | Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cusco vs Alianza Lima odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 30.0%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 3.04 | 3.23 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.13 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.10 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.33 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.04 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 2.98 | 3.26 |
| SBO | 2.22 | 2.93 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 —
X
3.07 ▼ -0.11
2
3.17 ▲ +0.09
26 snapshots recorded, from .