Peru Primera División
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Alianza Lima
vs
ADT
2 – 0 Full time
| 38′ | Jeremy CanelaJonathan Bauman | ||
| 44′ | Marco Huaman | ||
| 45′ | Luis Pérez | ||
| 45′ | Juan lucumiJair Reyes | ||
| 46′ | Erick Castillo | ||
| 61′ | Alan Martín CanteroKevin Quevedo | ||
| 64′ | Aldair Rodríguez | ||
| 69′ | Aldair RodríguezJhojan Garcilazo | ||
| 69′ | Joao RojasAlexander Anderson Hidalgo Jorge | ||
| 83′ | Federico GirottiLuis Ramos | ||
| 83′ | Jairo VélezGaspar Gentile | ||
| 87′ | Jhair SotoHoracio Benincasa | ||
| 90′ | Fernando GaiborJean Pierre Archimbaud | ||
| 90′ | Erick CastilloJesús Castillo |
Alianza Lima
73%
Draw
18%
ADT
9%
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 379 | Accurate passes | 156 |
Alianza Lima vs ADT overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza Lima vs ADT
| Probability | Alianza Lima | Draw | ADT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.8% | 19.3% | 8.9% |
| Market | 73.4% | 17.5% | 9.2% |
| Final | 73.0% | 17.9% | 9.1% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +1.8% | -0.3% |
Why Alianza Lima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Alianza Lima and ADT expected goals
Alianza Lima
2.20
ADT
0.66
Total expected goals: 2.86
Alianza Lima and ADT attack and defence ratings
Alianza Lima
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.81 -19%
ADT
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
1.41 +41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alianza Lima vs ADT: result vs prediction
Alianza Lima 2 – 0 ADT
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
- Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos
- FC Cajamarca v Cusco — match page
- Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau — team news & stats
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario — team news & stats
- FBC Melgar v Sport Boys — match page
- Sport Huancayo vs UTC Cajamarca — team news & stats
- Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua
- Cienciano v Club Deportivo Los Chankas — match page
Before and after this match
Alianza Lima vs ADT markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza Lima | 73.0% | 1.37 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza Lima win | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza Lima | 73.0% |
| Draw | 17.9% | |
| ADT | 9.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza Lima win | 48.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 28.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 3-0 | 10.2% |
Alianza Lima vs ADT stats
Alianza Lima and ADT recent form
| Alianza Lima |
LDLDWD |
| ADT |
LLLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza Lima and ADT going into this match
Alianza Lima record
- They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
ADT record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alianza Lima vs ADT head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
3Alianza Lima wins
3Draws
3ADT wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | ADT | Alianza Lima | Peru Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Alianza Lima | ADT | Peru Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | ADT | Alianza Lima | Peru Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-11 | Alianza Lima | ADT | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-01 | ADT | Alianza Lima | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Alianza Lima | ADT | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2023-06-03 | ADT | Alianza Lima | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-30 | Alianza Lima | ADT | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-03 | ADT | Alianza Lima | Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alianza Lima vs ADT odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.4%, draw 17.5%, away 9.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 5.35 | 10.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 4.75 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 5.25 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.30 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.35 | 10.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 5.63 | 9.37 |
| SBO | 1.25 | 4.56 | 6.86 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.25 —
X
5.25 ▼ -0.25
2
10.00 ▼ -0.25
11 snapshots recorded, from .