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Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

1 – 1 Full time

14′H. Melgarejo
40′Christian Velarde
45′Ítalo EspinozaGonzalo Falcón
54′Michael Kaufman
56′Carlos Cabello
57′Matias SuccarAdemar Robles
61′Claudio NuñezSebastian Cavero
64′Abdiel AyarzaJarlin Quintero
64′Michael KaufmanAxel Chávez
65′Franco Nicolas Torres
69′Kevin Becerra
72′Carlos CabelloRenzo Salazar
74′Kenji Barrios
78′Kenji BarriosGonzalo Rizzo
83′Christian Velarde
86′Marlon TorresKelvin Sanchez
90′Santiago Arias

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, CuscoReferee: Jesus Cartagena

Cienciano 68%
Draw 19%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
56 Possession % 44
10 Corners 0
14 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
1 Saves 5
237 Accurate passes 185

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCiencianoDrawClub Deportivo Los Chankas
Model81.0%12.1%6.9%
Market63.2%20.8%15.9%
Final67.7%18.7%13.7%
Edge+17.7%-8.7%-9.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Cienciano

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.25 vs 0.95.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cienciano below the model: +17.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cienciano ↓ / Club Deportivo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 8% 3 9% 8% 4+ 16% 15%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Cienciano and Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected goals

Cienciano 3.25
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0.95

Total expected goals: 4.21

Cienciano and Club Deportivo Los Chankas attack and defence ratings

Cienciano

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.67 +67%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: result vs prediction

Cienciano 1 – 1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cienciano 67.7% 1.48 +17.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.0% 1.27 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.5% 1.68 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.3% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Cienciano win 64.0% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cienciano67.7%
Draw18.7%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas13.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.0%
Under 2.521.0%
Both teams to scoreYes59.5%
No40.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.3%
12 (either side)81.3%
X2 (draw or away)32.3%
Handicap -1Cienciano win64.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.0%
Loss19.0%
Correct score (top 3)3-08.6%
3-18.2%
2-07.9%

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas stats

Cienciano and Club Deportivo Los Chankas recent form

newest first
Cienciano LWLWLL
Club Deportivo Los Chankas LLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cienciano and Club Deportivo Los Chankas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cienciano record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).

Club Deportivo Los Chankas record

  • They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Cienciano wins 2Draws 2Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-23Club Deportivo Los ChankasCiencianoPeru Primera División1-0
2025-08-05CiencianoClub Deportivo Los ChankasPeru Primera División3-0
2025-03-23Club Deportivo Los ChankasCiencianoPeru Primera División0-0
2024-08-03CiencianoClub Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División0-0
2024-02-26Club Deportivo Los ChankasCiencianoPrimera División1-2
2019-09-08CiencianoClub Deportivo Los ChankasSegunda División3-0
2019-07-08CiencianoClub Deportivo Los ChankasCopa Bicentenario5-0
2019-05-26Club Deportivo Los ChankasCiencianoSegunda División2-1
2018-10-28CiencianoClub Deportivo Los ChankasSegunda División4-0
2018-07-15Club Deportivo Los ChankasCiencianoSegunda División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cienciano vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.2%, draw 20.8%, away 15.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 1.45 4.20 5.75
BetVictor 1.45 4.40 5.75
Betano 1.53 4.75 6.10
Betfair 1.40 4.60 5.50
Marathonbet 1.46 4.40 5.75
Pinnacle 1.50 4.45 5.43
William Hill 1.44 4.20 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.45 ▲ +0.14
X 4.40 ▼ -0.70
2 5.75 ▼ -1.80

10 snapshots recorded, from .