Comerciantes Unidos
vs
Juan Pablo II College
Garuda Lions Prediction: Comerciantes Unidos
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College
| Probability | Comerciantes Unidos | Draw | Juan Pablo II College |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 24.9% | 37.1% |
| Market | 50.3% | 26.1% | 23.6% |
| Final | 47.2% | 25.8% | 27.0% |
| Edge | -12.3% | -1.1% | +13.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College match preview
Comerciantes Unidos faces Juan Pablo II College in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a slight edge for the home side, with a 47% chance of victory compared to 27% for Juan Pablo II College and a 26% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, with a 66% chance that both will score and a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals being achieved.
Recent form shows Comerciantes Unidos struggling with two losses and only one win in their last five matches, while Juan Pablo II College has performed better, winning four of their last six games. In their last three encounters, Comerciantes Unidos has secured two wins and one draw against Juan Pablo II College, who have yet to win in this head-to-head context. The expected goals for this match stand at 1.67 for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.64 for Juan Pablo II College.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.32
Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College attack and defence ratings
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comerciantes Unidos | 47.2% | 2.12 | -12.3% | 1.89 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comerciantes Unidos | 47.2% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Juan Pablo II College | 27.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% |
| No | 33.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Comerciantes Unidos win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College stats
Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College recent form
| Comerciantes Unidos |
LLDLWL |
| Juan Pablo II College |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College season so far
Comerciantes Unidos record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juan Pablo II College record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Comerciantes Unidos | Juan Pablo II College | Copa De La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Juan Pablo II College | Comerciantes Unidos | Peru Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Juan Pablo II College | Comerciantes Unidos | Peru Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Comerciantes Unidos | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 26.1%, away 23.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.56 | 3.96 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.45 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.56 | 3.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.60 | 3.74 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.09 | 3.37 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
22 snapshots recorded, from .