Garuda Lions
Today
Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College

1 – 1 Full time

32′Matías Eric Sen
32′Pablo Miguez
45′Maximiliano PérezJean Olivares
45′Mathias CarpioRodrigo Vilca
45′J. TorresNilton Ramirez
63′Pablo Miguez
66′Paolo Reyna
67′Yimy GameroWilter Ayovi
69′Nilton Ramirez
75′Álvaro RojasJack·Duran
75′Janio PósitoMateo Rodríguez
82′Juan Pablo GoicocheaAdan Hendricks Ayarza
82′Erinson RamirezHéctor Bazán
83′Arón Sánchez
84′Wilter Ayovi
87′Daniel LinoJosuee Herrera
87′Paolo FuentesFlavio Alcedo
89′Rodrigo Vilca

Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, CutervoReferee: Kevin Ortega

Comerciantes Unidos 48%
Draw 25%
Juan Pablo II College 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

28 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 5
56 Possession % 44
8 Corners 6
8 Fouls 9
4 Saves 8
242 Accurate passes 190

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityComerciantes UnidosDrawJuan Pablo II College
Model37.9%24.9%37.2%
Market50.9%25.6%23.5%
Final47.6%25.4%27.0%
Edge-3.2%-0.2%+3.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Comerciantes U ↓ / Juan Pablo II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College expected goals

Comerciantes Unidos 1.67
Juan Pablo II College 1.65

Total expected goals: 3.32

Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College attack and defence ratings

Comerciantes Unidos

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Juan Pablo II College

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College: result vs prediction

Comerciantes Unidos 1 – 1 Juan Pablo II College

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Comerciantes Unidos 47.6% 2.10 -3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.5% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.6% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.1% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Comerciantes Unidos47.6%
Draw25.4%
Juan Pablo II College27.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.5%
Under 2.535.5%
Both teams to scoreYes66.6%
No33.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.0%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)52.4%
Handicap -1Comerciantes Unidos win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss62.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-18.3%
1-28.2%

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College stats

Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College recent form

newest first
Comerciantes Unidos LLDLWL
Juan Pablo II College WWDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College going into this match

league record before kick-off

Comerciantes Unidos record

  • They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Juan Pablo II College record

  • They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Comerciantes Unidos wins 2Draws 0Juan Pablo II College wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II CollegeCopa De La Liga0-0
2026-04-18Juan Pablo II CollegeComerciantes UnidosPeru Primera División2-2
2025-10-24Juan Pablo II CollegeComerciantes UnidosPeru Primera División0-1
2025-06-22Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II CollegePeru Primera División3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 25.6%, away 23.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.83 3.60 3.91
Bet365 1.75 3.60 4.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.60 4.00
Betano 1.85 3.90 4.35
Betfair 1.75 3.60 3.90
Dafabet 1.86 3.70 4.10
Marathonbet 1.81 3.60 3.90
Pinnacle 1.79 3.77 3.91
SBO 1.81 3.20 3.55
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▼ -0.29
X 3.60 ▲ +0.25
2 3.91 ▲ +0.67

24 snapshots recorded, from .