Juan Pablo II College
vs
Sport Boys
Garuda Lions Prediction: Juan Pablo II College
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys
| Probability | Juan Pablo II College | Draw | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.1% | 27.3% | 21.6% |
| Market | 42.4% | 27.7% | 30.0% |
| Final | 44.6% | 27.6% | 27.9% |
| Edge | +8.8% | -0.3% | -8.4% |
Why Juan Pablo II College
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Juan Pablo II College below the model: +8.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.28, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys match preview
Juan Pablo II College faces Sport Boys in an upcoming match with a kickoff scheduled for October 17, 2026. According to our model, Juan Pablo II College has a 43% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 30% and Sport Boys at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Juan Pablo II College, which has a 12% chance of occurring. Expected goals for Juan Pablo II College are 1.34, compared to Sport Boys' 1.00.
In terms of recent form, Juan Pablo II College has recorded a sequence of D-W-W-D-W-W, while Sport Boys has a mixed record of D-W-L-W-W-D. The head-to-head results from the last three encounters show one win for Juan Pablo II College, one draw, and one win for Sport Boys. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys attack and defence ratings
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
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- FBC Melgar v Deportivo Garcilaso — match page
- Alianza Lima vs Atletico Grau
- Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos — team news & stats
- FC Cajamarca v UCV Moquegua — match page
- Alianza Atletico vs Universitario
- Cienciano v UTC Cajamarca — match page
Before and after this match
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juan Pablo II College | 44.6% | 2.24 | +8.8% | 2.28 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juan Pablo II College | 44.6% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Sport Boys | 27.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juan Pablo II College win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys stats
Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys recent form
| Juan Pablo II College |
DWWDWW |
| Sport Boys |
LDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juan Pablo II College and Sport Boys season so far
Juan Pablo II College record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Boys record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Sport Boys | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Juan Pablo II College | Sport Boys | Peru Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Sport Boys | Juan Pablo II College | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 27.7%, away 29.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.38 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.38 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.11 | 3.15 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .