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Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo

0 – 1 Full time

34′Rodrigo Vilca
35′José Eugenio Hernández Sarmiento
39′Rick Campodonico
45′Rick CampodonicoDaniel porozo
48′Piero Magallanes
48′Richard Javier Pellejero Ferreira
65′Alexis AriasAgustín Rodríguez
65′Jean OlivaresJosuee Herrera
65′Jhon SánchezWilter Ayovi
65′Ronal HuacchaJuan David Martínez
67′Ricardo Salcedo
74′Juan Rodríguez
77′Flavio Alcedo
80′Piero Magallanes
82′Ricardo SalcedoAldo Quinonez
82′Piero MagallanesJuan Gimenez
85′Juan David Martínez
88′Nahuel LujanJuan Barreda
89′Jose Antonio·ParodiThiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar
90′Aldo Quinonez
90′Josuee HerreraMaximiliano Pérez

Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, CutervoReferee: Augusto Menendez, Peru

Comerciantes Unidos 47%
Draw 26%
Sport Huancayo 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

3 Shots 27
0 Shots on target 8
48 Possession % 52
1 Corners 8
10 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 3
7 Saves 0
300 Accurate passes 331

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityComerciantes UnidosDrawSport Huancayo
Model55.8%22.4%21.8%
Market44.4%27.8%27.8%
Final47.2%26.5%26.3%
Edge+11.5%-5.4%-6.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Comerciantes Unidos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.30.
  • The market prices Comerciantes Unidos below the model: +11.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Comerciantes U ↓ / Sport Huancayo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 5% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Comerciantes Unidos and Sport Huancayo expected goals

Comerciantes Unidos 2.14
Sport Huancayo 1.30

Total expected goals: 3.43

Comerciantes Unidos and Sport Huancayo attack and defence ratings

Comerciantes Unidos

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Sport Huancayo

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo: result vs prediction

Comerciantes Unidos 0 – 1 Sport Huancayo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Comerciantes Unidos 47.2% 2.12 +11.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.7% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.2% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Comerciantes Unidos47.2%
Draw26.5%
Sport Huancayo26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.7%
Under 2.533.3%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)52.8%
Handicap -1Comerciantes Unidos win34.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss44.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-19.6%
2-07.4%

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo stats

Comerciantes Unidos and Sport Huancayo recent form

newest first
Comerciantes Unidos DLWLWL
Sport Huancayo WWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Comerciantes Unidos and Sport Huancayo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Comerciantes Unidos record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sport Huancayo record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Comerciantes Unidos wins 2Draws 4Sport Huancayo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05Sport HuancayoComerciantes UnidosPeru Primera División1-1
2025-09-17Comerciantes UnidosSport HuancayoPeru Primera División2-0
2025-04-20Sport HuancayoComerciantes UnidosPeru Primera División4-2
2024-08-20Sport HuancayoComerciantes UnidosPrimera División2-2
2024-03-14Comerciantes UnidosSport HuancayoPrimera División3-2
2018-09-11Sport HuancayoComerciantes UnidosPrimera División1-0
2018-05-26Comerciantes UnidosSport HuancayoPrimera División0-3
2017-10-30Comerciantes UnidosSport HuancayoPrimera División2-1
2017-07-21Sport HuancayoComerciantes UnidosPrimera División3-1
2017-04-10Comerciantes UnidosSport HuancayoPrimera División2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 27.5%, away 29.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.38 3.30 2.86
1xBet 2.09 3.38 3.35
888Sport 2.45 3.00 2.80
Bet365 2.10 3.25 3.50
BetVictor 2.45 3.30 2.70
Betano 2.07 3.30 3.30
Betfair 2.00 3.40 3.10
Dafabet 2.45 3.30 2.95
Marathonbet 2.07 3.38 3.34
Pinnacle 2.05 3.44 3.33
SBO 2.05 3.07 2.97
Superbet 2.40 3.20 2.85
Unibet 2.28 3.35 3.10
William Hill 2.10 3.25 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.07 ▼ -0.27
X 3.30 ▲ +0.08
2 3.30 ▲ +0.35

13 snapshots recorded, from .