Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso

1 – 0 Full time

35′Carlos Ramos
39′Agustin Gonzalez
40′Jostin Alarcon
81′Christian Cueva
83′Pablo LabrinFernando Pacheco
85′Christian CuevaRolando Diaz
85′Yuriel CeliFederico Illanes
85′Fernando Pacheco
90′Luis UrrutiGustavo Dulanto

Estadio Miguel Grau, CallaoReferee: Sebastian Lozano, Peru

Sport Boys 50%
Draw 28%
Deportivo Garcilaso 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
63 Possession % 37
7 Corners 6
17 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 1
7 Saves 3
304 Accurate passes 138

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySport BoysDrawDeportivo Garcilaso
Model36.8%33.9%29.3%
Market54.3%26.4%19.3%
Final49.9%28.3%21.8%
Edge-17.5%+7.5%+10.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sport Boys ↓ / Deportivo Garc → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 12% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 16%

Sport Boys and Deportivo Garcilaso expected goals

Sport Boys 1.05
Deportivo Garcilaso 0.90

Total expected goals: 1.95

Sport Boys and Deportivo Garcilaso attack and defence ratings

Sport Boys

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Deportivo Garcilaso

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso: result vs prediction

Sport Boys 1 – 0 Deportivo Garcilaso

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sport Boys 49.9% 2.00 -17.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.0% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score No 60.1% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.2% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.2% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sport Boys49.9%
Draw28.3%
Deportivo Garcilaso21.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.0%
Under 2.569.0%
Both teams to scoreYes39.9%
No60.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.2%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)50.1%
Handicap -1Sport Boys win15.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss63.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.6%
1-114.8%
1-013.5%

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso stats

Sport Boys and Deportivo Garcilaso recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sport Boys and Deportivo Garcilaso going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sport Boys record

  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Garcilaso record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Sport Boys wins 0Draws 5Deportivo Garcilaso wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Deportivo GarcilasoSport BoysPeru Primera División3-2
2025-08-16Sport BoysDeportivo GarcilasoPeru Primera División0-1
2025-03-29Deportivo GarcilasoSport BoysPeru Primera División4-0
2024-07-26Deportivo GarcilasoSport BoysPrimera División2-0
2024-02-11Sport BoysDeportivo GarcilasoPrimera División2-0
2023-08-16Deportivo GarcilasoSport BoysPrimera División3-0
2023-03-17Sport BoysDeportivo GarcilasoPrimera División2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.9%, draw 26.7%, away 19.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.80 3.45 4.45
1xBet 1.70 3.62 4.78
888Sport 1.80 3.30 4.33
Bet365 1.73 3.40 4.75
BetVictor 1.70 3.50 4.75
Betano 1.75 3.75 5.40
Betfair 1.65 3.50 4.75
Dafabet 1.80 3.50 4.80
Marathonbet 1.68 3.62 4.80
Pinnacle 1.71 3.42 4.98
SBO 1.67 3.14 3.97
Unibet 1.89 3.40 4.20
William Hill 1.70 3.40 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.10
X 3.50 ▲ +0.10
2 4.78 ▲ +0.46

14 snapshots recorded, from .