ADT
vs
Sport Huancayo
1 – 3 Full time
| 4′ | John Narváez | ||
| 8′ | Jean Franco Falconi | ||
| 17′ | H. Angeles | ||
| 20′ | Carlos Solis | ||
| 22′ | Nahuel Luján | ||
| 26′ | D. Carabano | ||
| 32′ | J. NarvaezJ. Pereyra | ||
| 32′ | A. OjedaJ. Reyes | ||
| 35′ | J. Sanguinetti | ||
| 44′ | Piero Magallanes | ||
| 46′ | H. RengifoJ. Bauman | ||
| 46′ | O. NunezS. Peralta | ||
| 51′ | Hugo Ángeles | ||
| 56′ | J. SanguinettiE. Villar | ||
| 56′ | R. HuacchaD. Porozo | ||
| 62′ | Jair Reyes | ||
| 71′ | P. MagallanesR. Campodonico | ||
| 76′ | J. RojasJ. Garcilazo | ||
| 82′ | Jonathan Bauman | ||
| 84′ | Ricardo Salcedo | ||
| 85′ | Ricardo Salcedo | ||
| 85′ | Ricardo Salcedo | ||
| 89′ | N. LujanY. Murillo | ||
| 89′ | D. CarabanoA. Quinonez | ||
| 89′ | A. Zamudio |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 272 | Accurate passes | 142 |
ADT vs Sport Huancayo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ADT vs Sport Huancayo
| Probability | ADT | Draw | Sport Huancayo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.4% | 25.1% | 24.6% |
| Market | 39.2% | 28.9% | 31.9% |
| Final | 42.0% | 27.9% | 30.1% |
| Edge | +11.2% | -3.8% | -7.3% |
Why ADT
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.23.
- The market prices ADT below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ADT and Sport Huancayo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
ADT and Sport Huancayo attack and defence ratings
ADT
Sport Huancayo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ADT vs Sport Huancayo: result vs prediction
ADT 1 – 3 Sport Huancayo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso
- UCV Moquegua v Alianza Atletico — match page
- Sport Boys v Sporting Cristal — match page
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- Atletico Grau v FBC Melgar — match page
Before and after this match
ADT vs Sport Huancayo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ADT | 42.0% | 2.38 | +11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ADT | 42.0% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Sport Huancayo | 30.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% |
| No | 39.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | ADT win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
ADT vs Sport Huancayo stats
ADT and Sport Huancayo recent form
| LDDLLL | |
| LLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ADT and Sport Huancayo going into this match
ADT record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Huancayo record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ADT vs Sport Huancayo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Sport Huancayo | ADT | Peru Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | ADT | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Sport Huancayo | ADT | Peru Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ADT vs Sport Huancayo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 28.9%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.40 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.20 | 2.92 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.16 | 2.93 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.01 | 2.59 |
| Unibet | 2.35 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .