Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 7

ADT vs Sport Huancayo

1 – 3 Full time

4′John Narváez
8′Jean Franco Falconi
17′H. Angeles
20′Carlos Solis
22′Nahuel Luján
26′D. Carabano
32′J. NarvaezJ. Pereyra
32′A. OjedaJ. Reyes
35′J. Sanguinetti
44′Piero Magallanes
46′H. RengifoJ. Bauman
46′O. NunezS. Peralta
51′Hugo Ángeles
56′J. SanguinettiE. Villar
56′R. HuacchaD. Porozo
62′Jair Reyes
71′P. MagallanesR. Campodonico
76′J. RojasJ. Garcilazo
82′Jonathan Bauman
84′Ricardo Salcedo
85′Ricardo Salcedo
85′Ricardo Salcedo
89′N. LujanY. Murillo
89′D. CarabanoA. Quinonez
89′A. Zamudio

Referee: Jesus Cartagena, Peru

ADT 42%
Draw 28%
Sport Huancayo 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 5
64 Possession % 36
9 Corners 0
14 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
272 Accurate passes 142

ADT vs Sport Huancayo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ADT vs Sport Huancayo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityADTDrawSport Huancayo
Model50.4%25.1%24.6%
Market39.2%28.9%31.9%
Final42.0%27.9%30.1%
Edge+11.2%-3.8%-7.3%

Confidence: Low

Why ADT

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.23.
  • The market prices ADT below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ADT ↓ / Sport Huancayo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

ADT and Sport Huancayo expected goals

ADT 1.80
Sport Huancayo 1.23

Total expected goals: 3.04

ADT and Sport Huancayo attack and defence ratings

ADT

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Sport Huancayo

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ADT vs Sport Huancayo: result vs prediction

ADT 1 – 3 Sport Huancayo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

ADT vs Sport Huancayo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ADT 42.0% 2.38 +11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.8% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.3% 1.66 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.3% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ADT42.0%
Draw27.9%
Sport Huancayo30.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.8%
Under 2.541.2%
Both teams to scoreYes60.3%
No39.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.9%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)58.0%
Handicap -1ADT win28.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss50.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-19.7%
2-07.9%

ADT vs Sport Huancayo stats

ADT and Sport Huancayo recent form

newest first
ADT LDDLLL
Sport Huancayo LLDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ADT and Sport Huancayo going into this match

league record before kick-off

ADT record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sport Huancayo record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

ADT vs Sport Huancayo head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2ADT wins 0Draws 1Sport Huancayo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14Sport HuancayoADTPeru Primera División0-1
2025-08-09ADTSport HuancayoPeru Primera División1-0
2025-03-08Sport HuancayoADTPeru Primera División2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ADT vs Sport Huancayo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 28.9%, away 31.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.42 3.35 2.80
1xBet 2.38 3.20 2.94
Bet365 2.25 3.30 2.90
Betano 2.32 3.20 2.87
Betfair 2.20 3.30 2.80
Dafabet 2.40 3.35 3.00
Marathonbet 2.36 3.20 2.92
Pinnacle 2.38 3.16 2.93
SBO 2.21 3.01 2.59
Unibet 2.35 3.40 2.95
William Hill 2.40 3.00 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.36 ▲ +0.06
X 3.20 ▼ -0.07
2 2.90 ▼ -0.10

10 snapshots recorded, from .