Garuda Lions
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Peru Primera División · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal

1 – 0 Full time

14′Santiago González
28′Hansell Riojas
36′R. LutigerL. Diaz
41′Catriel Cabellos
43′Jostin Alarcón
45′N. Da Campo
46′N. Da CampoE. Gonzales
46′S. GonzalezM. Castro
63′J. AlarconY. Celi
68′H. RiojasG. Dulanto
68′C. CuevaP. Liza
68′J. CuestaI. Avila
68′M. HoyosH. Barcos
69′L. SosaJ. Gonzalez
81′M. TavaraA. Alvarez Wallace
86′L. UrrutiM. Trauco

Estadio Miguel Grau, CallaoReferee: Augusto Menendez, Peru

Sport Boys 43%
Draw 27%
Sporting Cristal 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
54 Possession % 46
9 Corners 2
16 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 1
381 Accurate passes 293

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySport BoysDrawSporting Cristal
Model63.6%23.7%12.7%
Market36.2%28.4%35.5%
Final43.0%27.2%29.8%
Edge+27.5%-4.7%-22.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Sport Boys

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.72.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sport Boys below the model: +27.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sport Boys ↓ / Sporting Crist → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 11% 2 13% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Sport Boys and Sporting Cristal expected goals

Sport Boys 1.86
Sporting Cristal 0.72

Total expected goals: 2.58

Sport Boys and Sporting Cristal attack and defence ratings

Sport Boys

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Sporting Cristal

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal: result vs prediction

Sport Boys 1 – 0 Sporting Cristal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Peru Primera División

Before and after this match

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sport Boys 43.0% 2.32 +27.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score No 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.8% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Sport Boys win 38.6% 2.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sport Boys43.0%
Draw27.2%
Sporting Cristal29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes44.2%
No55.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)72.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.0%
Handicap -1Sport Boys win38.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.9%
Loss36.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-013.1%
1-013.1%
1-111.1%

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal stats

Sport Boys and Sporting Cristal recent form

newest first
Sport Boys WDDWWL
Sporting Cristal LWDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sport Boys and Sporting Cristal going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sport Boys record

  • They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting Cristal record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Sport Boys wins 3Draws 7Sporting Cristal wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15Sporting CristalSport BoysPeru Primera División3-0
2025-07-26Sport BoysSporting CristalPeru Primera División0-2
2025-02-16Sporting CristalSport BoysPeru Primera División2-1
2024-07-21Sporting CristalSport BoysPrimera División4-0
2024-02-04Sport BoysSporting CristalPrimera División1-3
2023-09-10Sport BoysSporting CristalPrimera División1-1
2023-04-14Sporting CristalSport BoysPrimera División1-1
2022-10-15Sport BoysSporting CristalPrimera División3-5
2022-06-05Sporting CristalSport BoysPrimera División3-0
2021-10-30Sporting CristalSport BoysPrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 28.4%, away 35.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.48 3.35 2.72
1xBet 2.74 3.12 2.54
Bet365 2.62 3.40 2.40
BetVictor 2.70 3.25 2.45
Betano 2.45 3.25 2.70
Betfair 2.38 3.30 2.63
Dafabet 2.55 3.40 2.75
Marathonbet 2.74 3.12 2.54
Pinnacle 2.77 3.11 2.53
SBO 2.32 3.04 2.56
Superbet 2.47 3.25 2.70
Unibet 2.48 3.25 2.85
William Hill 2.70 3.00 2.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▼ -0.05
X 3.25 ▲ +0.11
2 2.60 ▼ -0.02

8 snapshots recorded, from .