Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 2

Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya

3 – 2 Full time

Ahmed bin Ali Stadium, Lai YangReferee: S. A. Falahi

Al Shahaniya 44%
Draw 27%
Al-Sailiya 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl ShahaniyaDrawAl-Sailiya
Model50.9%25.5%23.6%
Market41.2%27.3%31.5%
Final43.6%26.8%29.5%
Edge+9.7%-1.8%-7.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Shahaniya

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.17.
  • The market prices Al Shahaniya below the model: +9.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Shahaniya ↓ / Al-Sailiya → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Al Shahaniya and Al-Sailiya expected goals

Al Shahaniya 1.74
Al-Sailiya 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.91

Al Shahaniya and Al-Sailiya attack and defence ratings

Al Shahaniya

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Al-Sailiya

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya: result vs prediction

Al Shahaniya 3 – 2 Al-Sailiya

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Shahaniya 43.6% 2.29 +9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.0% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.3% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Shahaniya43.6%
Draw26.8%
Al-Sailiya29.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.2%
Under 2.543.8%
Both teams to scoreYes58.0%
No42.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.5%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)56.4%
Handicap -1Al Shahaniya win27.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss50.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
2-19.7%
2-08.4%

Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya stats

Al Shahaniya and Al-Sailiya recent form

newest first
Al Shahaniya LWDWLL
Al-Sailiya LLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Al Shahaniya wins 2Draws 5Al-Sailiya wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-18Al-SailiyaAl ShahaniyaStars League3-2
2025-10-26Al ShahaniyaAl-SailiyaStars League0-1
2025-09-03Al ShahaniyaAl-SailiyaQSL Cup1-2
2024-03-08Al ShahaniyaAl-SailiyaSecond Division4-1
2023-11-09Al-SailiyaAl ShahaniyaSecond Division1-2
2022-04-03Al-SailiyaAl ShahaniyaQFA Cup4-2
2020-08-01Al-SailiyaAl ShahaniyaStars League2-2
2019-10-25Al ShahaniyaAl-SailiyaStars League0-0
2019-03-31Al ShahaniyaAl-SailiyaStars League0-1
2018-10-21Al-SailiyaAl ShahaniyaStars League1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Shahaniya vs Al-Sailiya odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 27.3%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.22 3.40 2.90
1xBet 2.21 3.30 2.92
Bet365 2.20 3.50 2.80
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 2.88
Betano 2.25 3.35 2.95
Betfair 2.20 3.50 2.75
Dafabet 2.22 3.30 2.85
Marathonbet 2.19 3.30 2.86
Pinnacle 2.29 3.40 2.98
Superbet 2.27 3.35 2.95
William Hill 2.25 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.22 ▼ -0.01
X 3.35 ▲ +0.02
2 2.90 ▼ -0.01

11 snapshots recorded, from .