Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya

4 – 2 Full time

15′Ali Assadalla
25′Abdelkarim Hassan
45′Francesco Antonucci
59′Abdoulaye Traore
61′Musab Kheder
72′Sven van Beek
73′Wesley SaïdFahad Waad
73′Abdelkarim HassanMohamed Ali Ben Romdhane
76′Francesco AntonucciZvonimir Šarlija
80′Mowafak Awad
81′Ali AssadallaAbdullah Abdulsalam
81′Musab KhederOmar Ali
82′Mohamed Abdelfatah SuragAbdelrahman Moustafa
85′Pablo Mari
90′Mowafak Awad
90′Alex ColladoFederico Joaquin Bais Alvarez
90′Abdelrahman MoustafaAbdulrahman Mussed
90′Mohamed Al AeldinKhaled Muftah
90′Abdoulaye Traore
90′Mowafak Awad
90′Nassim Benaissa
90′Baghdad Bounedjah
90′Khaled Muftah

Al-Shamal SC Stadium, Gray Shamal

Al Shamal 47%
Draw 25%
Al Shahaniya 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
58 Possession % 42
6 Corners 6
13 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 4
3 Saves 3
392 Accurate passes 250

Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl ShamalDrawAl Shahaniya
Model32.5%25.3%42.2%
Market52.0%24.5%23.5%
Final47.1%24.7%28.2%
Edge-19.4%+0.8%+18.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Shamal ↓ / Al Shahaniya → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Al Shamal and Al Shahaniya expected goals

Al Shamal 1.49
Al Shahaniya 1.72

Total expected goals: 3.21

Al Shamal and Al Shahaniya attack and defence ratings

Al Shamal

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Al Shahaniya

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya: result vs prediction

Al Shamal 4 – 2 Al Shahaniya

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Shamal 47.1% 2.12 -19.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.2% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.6% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.5% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Shamal47.1%
Draw24.7%
Al Shahaniya28.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.2%
Under 2.537.8%
Both teams to scoreYes64.6%
No35.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.8%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)52.9%
Handicap -1Al Shamal win15.7%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss67.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
1-28.9%
2-17.7%

Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya stats

Al Shamal and Al Shahaniya recent form

newest first
Al Shamal WDLLLW
Al Shahaniya WLWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Al Shamal wins 2Draws 3Al Shahaniya wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-08Al ShahaniyaAl ShamalStars League2-0
2026-01-27Al ShahaniyaAl ShamalQSL Cup1-0
2025-11-23Al ShamalAl ShahaniyaStars League4-0
2025-09-23Al ShahaniyaAl ShamalQSL Cup0-0
2025-03-28Al ShamalAl ShahaniyaStars League3-0
2024-10-26Al ShahaniyaAl ShamalStars League2-0
2022-04-08Al ShahaniyaAl ShamalQFA Cup2-3
2021-04-11Al ShahaniyaAl ShamalSecond Division0-3
2021-02-10Al ShamalAl ShahaniyaSecond Division2-1
2020-12-06Al ShahaniyaAl ShamalSecond Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Shamal vs Al Shahaniya odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.0%, draw 24.5%, away 23.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.81 3.70 3.75
1xBet 1.74 3.62 4.01
Bet365 1.73 3.75 3.80
BetVictor 1.73 3.75 3.90
Betano 1.83 3.70 3.80
Betfair 1.70 3.80 3.90
Dafabet 1.80 3.70 3.95
Marathonbet 1.72 3.62 3.95
Pinnacle 1.79 3.86 4.21
SBO 1.74 3.28 3.47
Superbet 1.83 3.70 3.75
William Hill 1.75 3.40 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▼ -0.05
X 3.70 ▲ +0.05
2 3.85 ▲ +0.15

7 snapshots recorded, from .