Garuda Lions
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Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal

1 – 1 Full time

23′Ayoub Assal
26′Pablo Mari
45′Aissa Laïdouni
45′Ali Assadalla
49′Pablo Mari
63′Wesley SaïdBaghdad Bounedjah
63′Ali AssadallaAhmad Al-Saeed
64′Mohamed Ali Ben RomdhaneTiago Silva
72′Aissa LaïdouniRedouane Berkane
72′Nabil IrfanRabh Boussafi
72′Ayoub AssalMohamed Simo
76′Fahad WaadAbdullah Abdulsalam
81′Ahmad Al-Saeed
90′Luis AlbertoGelson Dala
90′Baghdad Bounedjah

Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium, Wakla

Al Wakrah 39%
Draw 25%
Al Shamal 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
54 Possession % 46
3 Corners 5
12 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 1
3 Saves 3
398 Accurate passes 353

Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl WakrahDrawAl Shamal
Model33.5%23.2%43.3%
Market41.4%25.3%33.3%
Final39.4%24.8%35.8%
Edge-7.8%-2.1%+9.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Wakrah ↓ / Al Shamal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Al Wakrah and Al Shamal expected goals

Al Wakrah 1.72
Al Shamal 1.97

Total expected goals: 3.69

Al Wakrah and Al Shamal attack and defence ratings

Al Wakrah

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Al Shamal

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal: result vs prediction

Al Wakrah 1 – 1 Al Shamal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Wakrah 39.4% 2.54 -7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.3% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.5% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.5% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Wakrah39.4%
Draw24.8%
Al Shamal35.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.3%
Under 2.528.7%
Both teams to scoreYes71.5%
No28.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.2%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)60.6%
Handicap -1Al Wakrah win17.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.3%
Loss66.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.3%
1-28.3%
2-17.3%

Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal stats

Al Wakrah and Al Shamal recent form

newest first
Al Wakrah LLDWDW
Al Shamal WWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Al Wakrah wins 5Draws 4Al Shamal wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-12Al WakrahAl ShamalStars League0-1
2025-11-07Al ShamalAl WakrahStars League2-2
2025-04-18Al ShamalAl WakrahStars League1-0
2024-12-08Al WakrahAl ShamalStars League0-3
2024-11-11Al ShamalAl WakrahQSL Cup1-1
2024-04-16Al ShamalAl WakrahStars League0-0
2023-08-27Al WakrahAl ShamalStars League2-2
2023-04-13Al WakrahAl ShamalStars League5-1
2023-02-25Al ShamalAl WakrahStars League0-0
2022-04-23Al WakrahAl ShamalQFA Cup1-7

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 25.3%, away 33.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.18 3.65 2.82
1xBet 2.20 3.62 2.71
888Sport 2.90 3.50 2.05
Bet365 2.15 3.50 2.75
BetVictor 2.20 3.60 2.70
Betano 2.25 3.50 2.85
Betfair 2.15 3.75 2.63
Dafabet 2.25 3.65 2.75
Marathonbet 2.18 3.62 2.66
Pinnacle 2.32 3.84 2.79
SBO 2.16 3.32 2.58
Superbet 2.27 3.60 2.77
Unibet 2.06 3.35 3.00
William Hill 2.90 3.50 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.09
X 3.60 ▲ +0.08
2 2.73 ▲ +0.15

11 snapshots recorded, from .