Lusail City
vs
Al Wakrah
4 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | Mohamed Simo | ||
| 12′ | Hamidreza Firouzi | ||
| 16′ | Almahdi Ali | ||
| 19′ | Rodrigo Machado | ||
| 32′ | Mohamed SimoNabil Irfan | ||
| 45′ | Farhad Zavoshi | ||
| 45′ | Rodrigo MachadoGeorg Stojanovski | ||
| 45′ | Ayoub AssalOmar Salah | ||
| 55′ | Mohamed AiashMuhammad Taher Khan | ||
| 57′ | Farhad Zavoshi | ||
| 59′ | Hamdy Fathy | ||
| 68′ | Omid EbrahimiTiago Geralnik | ||
| 71′ | Almahdi AliTameem Mansour | ||
| 72′ | Redouane BerkanePaolo Fabrizio Calione Fuentes | ||
| 72′ | Franco Russo | ||
| 75′ | Amin PilaliAli Karami | ||
| 75′ | Farhad ZavoshiAmath Ndiaye | ||
| 78′ | Omar Salah |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 257 | Accurate passes | 352 |
Lusail City vs Al Wakrah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lusail City vs Al Wakrah
| Probability | Lusail City | Draw | Al Wakrah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 23.7% | 43.3% |
| Market | 21.4% | 23.6% | 55.0% |
| Final | 24.3% | 23.7% | 52.1% |
| Edge | +11.6% | +0.1% | -11.7% |
Why Al Wakrah
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lusail City and Al Wakrah expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Lusail City and Al Wakrah attack and defence ratings
Lusail City
Al Wakrah
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lusail City vs Al Wakrah: result vs prediction
Lusail City 4 – 0 Al Wakrah
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lusail City vs Al Wakrah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Wakrah | 52.1% | 1.92 | -11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lusail City | 24.3% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Al Wakrah | 52.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Wakrah win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 7.4% |
Lusail City vs Al Wakrah stats
Lusail City and Al Wakrah recent form
| Lusail City |
DL |
| Al Wakrah |
LDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Lusail City vs Al Wakrah head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lusail City vs Al Wakrah odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.5%, draw 23.4%, away 55.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.31 | 3.88 | 1.64 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 4.25 | 3.84 | 1.63 |
| Pinnacle | 4.54 | 4.09 | 1.69 |
| SBO | 3.87 | 3.56 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .