Garuda Lions
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Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 2

Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC

1 – 2 Full time

Saoud bin Abdulrahman Stadium, WaklaReferee: J. Abdulrahman

Al Wakrah 27%
Draw 25%
Al-Rayyan SC 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl WakrahDrawAl-Rayyan SC
Model25.7%24.0%50.2%
Market27.0%25.5%47.4%
Final26.7%25.2%48.1%
Edge-1.3%-1.5%+2.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Rayyan SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.34.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Al-Rayyan SC below the model: +2.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Wakrah ↓ / Al-Rayyan SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Al Wakrah and Al-Rayyan SC expected goals

Al Wakrah 1.34
Al-Rayyan SC 1.94

Total expected goals: 3.29

Al Wakrah and Al-Rayyan SC attack and defence ratings

Al Wakrah

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Al-Rayyan SC

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC: result vs prediction

Al Wakrah 1 – 2 Al-Rayyan SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Rayyan SC 48.1% 2.08 +2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.4% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.5% 2.02 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Wakrah26.7%
Draw25.2%
Al-Rayyan SC48.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.8%
Under 2.536.2%
Both teams to scoreYes64.4%
No35.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.9%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)73.3%
Handicap -1Al-Rayyan SC win29.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss49.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.7%
1-29.5%
0-27.0%

Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC stats

Al Wakrah and Al-Rayyan SC recent form

newest first
Al Wakrah DWDWLL
Al-Rayyan SC WWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Al Wakrah wins 0Draws 5Al-Rayyan SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-01Al-Rayyan SCAl WakrahEmir Cup0-3
2026-03-17Al-Rayyan SCAl WakrahStars League2-1
2025-10-26Al WakrahAl-Rayyan SCStars League0-2
2025-09-23Al-Rayyan SCAl WakrahQSL Cup4-3
2025-02-23Al WakrahAl-Rayyan SCStars League0-4
2024-09-22Al-Rayyan SCAl WakrahStars League0-2
2024-05-04Al WakrahAl-Rayyan SCQatar Cup1-0
2024-03-06Al-Rayyan SCAl WakrahStars League3-0
2023-09-29Al WakrahAl-Rayyan SCStars League3-2
2023-05-03Al WakrahAl-Rayyan SCStars League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Wakrah vs Al-Rayyan SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.0%, draw 25.5%, away 47.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.30 3.65 1.94
1xBet 3.46 3.45 1.92
Bet365 3.40 3.75 1.90
BetVictor 3.30 3.70 1.90
Betano 3.40 3.60 1.98
Betfair 3.25 3.75 1.90
Dafabet 3.40 3.60 1.96
Marathonbet 3.45 3.46 1.88
Pinnacle 3.66 3.75 1.95
SBO 2.97 3.31 1.96
Superbet 3.40 3.55 1.97
Unibet 3.25 3.40 1.91
William Hill 3.30 3.40 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.40 ▼ -0.35
X 3.60 ▼ -0.32
2 1.94 ▲ +0.20

13 snapshots recorded, from .