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Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 2

Qatar SC vs Al Sadd

2 – 6 Full time

Qatar Sports Club Stadium, DohaReferee: Moatasem Ahmad Al-Mazyed

Qatar SC 17%
Draw 19%
Al Sadd 63%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Qatar SC vs Al Sadd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Qatar SC vs Al Sadd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQatar SCDrawAl Sadd
Model20.8%19.7%59.5%
Market16.2%19.3%64.5%
Final17.4%19.4%63.3%
Edge+4.6%+0.4%-5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Sadd

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.48.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Qatar SC ↓ / Al Sadd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 5% 6% 1 7% 9% 7% 8% 2 5% 6% 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Qatar SC and Al Sadd expected goals

Qatar SC 1.48
Al Sadd 2.55

Total expected goals: 4.03

Qatar SC and Al Sadd attack and defence ratings

Qatar SC

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Al Sadd

Attack 1.48 +48%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Qatar SC vs Al Sadd: result vs prediction

Qatar SC 2 – 6 Al Sadd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Qatar SC vs Al Sadd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Sadd 63.3% 1.58 -5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.7% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.1% 1.39 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Al Sadd win 40.1% 2.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Qatar SC17.4%
Draw19.4%
Al Sadd63.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.7%
Under 2.523.3%
Both teams to scoreYes72.1%
No27.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)36.7%
12 (either side)80.6%
X2 (draw or away)82.6%
Handicap -1Al Sadd win40.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss40.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.5%
1-17.4%
1-37.2%

Qatar SC vs Al Sadd stats

Qatar SC and Al Sadd recent form

newest first
Qatar SC DLWDLD
Al Sadd WWWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Qatar SC vs Al Sadd head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Qatar SC wins 0Draws 7Al Sadd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-08Qatar SCAl SaddStars League2-3
2025-08-16Al SaddQatar SCStars League2-3
2025-01-23Al SaddQatar SCStars League0-1
2024-08-17Qatar SCAl SaddStars League1-5
2024-05-24Al SaddQatar SCEmir Cup1-0
2024-03-01Al SaddQatar SCStars League3-0
2023-09-23Qatar SCAl SaddStars League1-3
2023-04-15Qatar SCAl SaddStars League0-2
2023-02-25Al SaddQatar SCStars League2-0
2022-10-14Qatar SCAl SaddQSL Cup3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Qatar SC vs Al Sadd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.2%, draw 19.3%, away 64.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.90 4.70 1.42
1xBet 5.89 4.75 1.39
Bet365 5.50 4.75 1.42
BetVictor 5.75 4.75 1.40
Betano 5.40 4.65 1.47
Betfair 6.00 4.75 1.36
Dafabet 5.60 4.80 1.44
Marathonbet 5.70 4.75 1.38
Pinnacle 5.65 5.01 1.43
Superbet 5.45 4.75 1.44
William Hill 5.50 4.50 1.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.65 ▲ +0.41
X 4.75 ▲ +0.10
2 1.42 ▼ -0.02

11 snapshots recorded, from .