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Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd

3 – 6 Full time

19′Akram Afif
35′Ali Olwan
39′Anwar El Ghazi
45′Hashim Ali
49′Kellian van der Kaap
50′Roberto Firmino
58′Ahmed Doozandeh
62′Roberto Firmino
66′Abdulaziz Al-BakriHadi Ali Tabasideh
66′Majed MohammedAbdelaziz Mitwali
69′Mohamed ManaiYusuf Abdurisag
69′Hashim AliHassan Al-Haydos
69′Agustin soriaGuilherme Torres
75′Akram Afif
76′Younès Belhanda
77′Kellian van der KaapMathias Normann
77′Abdulla Mahmoud MahmoudSalem Sultan Al-Sufiani
83′Paulo OtávioMohamed Waad
83′Cláudio Luiz Rodrigues Parise LeonelMostafa Mashaal
85′Ahmed DoozandehMohab Mohammed Eissa
86′Abdelaziz Mitwali
90′Mostafa Mashaal
90′Ali Olwan

Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha

Al-Sailiya 8%
Draw 13%
Al Sadd 79%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 10
37 Possession % 63
0 Corners 2
7 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 5
4 Saves 1
329 Accurate passes 609

Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-SailiyaDrawAl Sadd
Model8.9%13.5%77.6%
Market7.8%13.1%79.1%
Final8.0%13.2%78.7%
Edge+1.1%+0.4%-1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Al Sadd

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.15 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Sailiya ↓ / Al Sadd → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 13% 1 8% 8% 14% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Al-Sailiya and Al Sadd expected goals

Al-Sailiya 1.07
Al Sadd 3.15

Total expected goals: 4.23

Al-Sailiya and Al Sadd attack and defence ratings

Al-Sailiya

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Al Sadd

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd: result vs prediction

Al-Sailiya 3 – 6 Al Sadd

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Sadd 78.7% 1.27 -1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.3% 1.26 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.5% 1.58 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 92.0% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Al Sadd win 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Sailiya8.0%
Draw13.2%
Al Sadd78.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.3%
Under 2.520.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.5%
No36.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)21.3%
12 (either side)86.8%
X2 (draw or away)92.0%
Handicap -1Al Sadd win59.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.8%
Loss22.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-38.2%
1-27.8%
0-37.6%

Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd stats

Al-Sailiya and Al Sadd recent form

newest first
Al-Sailiya LLLLWL
Al Sadd WWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Al-Sailiya wins 1Draws 8Al Sadd wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-08Al-SailiyaAl SaddStars League1-3
2025-11-22Al SaddAl-SailiyaStars League3-1
2023-09-04Al-SailiyaAl SaddQFA Cup7-0
2023-03-03Al SaddAl-SailiyaStars League4-0
2022-09-19Al SaddAl-SailiyaQSL Cup4-0
2022-08-30Al-SailiyaAl SaddStars League1-2
2022-01-03Al-SailiyaAl SaddStars League0-2
2021-09-12Al SaddAl-SailiyaStars League2-0
2021-01-07Al SaddAl-SailiyaStars League8-0
2020-10-13Al-SailiyaAl SaddQSL Cup4-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Sailiya vs Al Sadd odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 8.0%, draw 13.3%, away 78.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 12.00 5.80 1.20
1xBet 11.50 6.95 1.14
888Sport 12.00 7.00 1.17
Bet365 10.00 6.50 1.18
BetVictor 12.00 7.00 1.14
Betano 10.75 6.70 1.19
Betfair 13.00 7.00 1.12
Dafabet 11.00 7.40 1.17
Marathonbet 11.50 6.95 1.14
Pinnacle 12.79 7.79 1.17
SBO 9.06 6.28 1.15
Superbet 10.00 7.20 1.17
Unibet 10.00 6.10 1.16
William Hill 12.00 6.50 1.17

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 11.75 ▲ +3.26
X 6.95 ▲ +0.95
2 1.15 ▼ -0.10

10 snapshots recorded, from .