Al Sadd
vs
Al-Arabi SC
2 – 3 Full time
Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC
| Probability | Al Sadd | Draw | Al-Arabi SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.7% | 20.3% | 19.0% |
| Market | 59.5% | 20.2% | 20.2% |
| Final | 59.8% | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| Edge | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
Why Al Sadd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Sadd and Al-Arabi SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.72
Al Sadd and Al-Arabi SC attack and defence ratings
Al Sadd
Al-Arabi SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC: result vs prediction
Al Sadd 2 – 3 Al-Arabi SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Sadd | 59.8% | 1.67 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Sadd | 59.8% |
| Draw | 20.3% | |
| Al-Arabi SC | 19.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.4% |
| No | 32.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Sadd win | 39.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.4% | |
| 3-1 | 7.4% |
Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC stats
Al Sadd and Al-Arabi SC recent form
| Al Sadd |
WWWWWW |
| Al-Arabi SC |
DWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Sadd | Stars League | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Sadd | QSL Cup | 5-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Al Sadd | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 1-3 |
| 2025-01-30 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Sadd | Stars League | 1-3 |
| 2024-08-22 | Al Sadd | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 5-0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Sadd | Stars League | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-17 | Al Sadd | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-12 | Al Sadd | Al-Arabi SC | Emir Cup | 0-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Al Sadd | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 1-2 |
| 2023-02-09 | Al Sadd | Al-Arabi SC | Qatar Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Sadd vs Al-Arabi SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 20.2%, away 20.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.65 | 4.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.65 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 5.14 | 4.75 |
| SBO | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.02 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.50 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .