Garuda Lions
Today
Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya

5 – 0 Full time

16′Naïm Sliti
34′Julian Draxler
39′Naïm Sliti
44′Moataz BostamiYounès Belhanda
44′Raoul Danzabe SandaMus'ab Al-Batat
48′Benjamin Bourigeaud
59′Mohamed TaabouniSalem Sultan Al-Sufiani
59′Matías NaniJoselu
72′Naïm SlitiYounis Hussein Abdelrahman
77′Ismaeel MohammadWilliam Troost-Ekong
83′Majed Mohammed
84′Ahmed Reyed MawlaJassem Mohammed
84′Benjamin BourigeaudHamad Mansour
84′Driss FettouhiLuiz Junior
89′Anwar El GhaziMohab Mohammed Eissa

Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha

Al Ahli Doha 54%
Draw 23%
Al-Sailiya 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
56 Possession % 44
3 Corners 5
7 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
6 Saves 1
402 Accurate passes 309

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl Ahli DohaDrawAl-Sailiya
Model55.1%21.1%23.8%
Market53.1%23.5%23.4%
Final53.6%22.9%23.5%
Edge+0.5%-0.6%+0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Al Ahli Doha

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.52.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Ahli Doha ↓ / Al-Sailiya → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4% 7% 5% 4+ 5% 7% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Al Ahli Doha and Al-Sailiya expected goals

Al Ahli Doha 2.35
Al-Sailiya 1.52

Total expected goals: 3.87

Al Ahli Doha and Al-Sailiya attack and defence ratings

Al Ahli Doha

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Al-Sailiya

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya: result vs prediction

Al Ahli Doha 5 – 0 Al-Sailiya

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Ahli Doha 53.6% 1.87 +0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.1% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.4% 1.40 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.1% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.7% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Ahli Doha53.6%
Draw22.9%
Al-Sailiya23.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.1%
Under 2.525.9%
Both teams to scoreYes71.4%
No28.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.5%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)46.4%
Handicap -1Al Ahli Doha win35.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss44.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.8%
1-18.2%
3-16.8%

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya stats

Al Ahli Doha and Al-Sailiya recent form

newest first
Al Ahli Doha LWDLWW
Al-Sailiya LLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Al Ahli Doha wins 3Draws 2Al-Sailiya wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03Al Ahli DohaAl-SailiyaStars League2-2
2026-01-19Al-SailiyaAl Ahli DohaQSL Cup2-1
2025-11-01Al-SailiyaAl Ahli DohaStars League1-2
2023-04-29Al Ahli DohaAl-SailiyaStars League0-4
2023-01-12Al-SailiyaAl Ahli DohaStars League1-2
2022-09-25Al-SailiyaAl Ahli DohaQSL Cup2-3
2022-03-01Al-SailiyaAl Ahli DohaStars League2-2
2021-12-24Al Ahli DohaAl-SailiyaStars League1-0
2021-01-20Al-SailiyaAl Ahli DohaStars League0-0
2020-10-18Al Ahli DohaAl-SailiyaStars League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.1%, draw 23.5%, away 23.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.68 3.88 3.96
Bet365 1.73 3.70 3.80
BetVictor 1.70 3.90 3.90
Betano 1.75 3.90 3.90
Dafabet 1.72 4.00 3.95
Marathonbet 1.66 3.88 3.88
Pinnacle 1.76 4.11 4.10
SBO 1.65 3.82 3.81
William Hill 1.73 3.70 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.72 ▲ +0.18
X 3.88 ▼ -0.37
2 3.90 ▼ -0.86

6 snapshots recorded, from .